Who won Campbell vs NC State?
Final: NC State 83, Campbell 64. Before tip-off the model gave NC State a 96% chance to win, with a projected margin of 21.5 points for NC State. Ven-Allen Lubin scored 20 for NC State; Rashawn Inglemon had 20 for Campbell.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Ven-Allen Lubin: Campbell 7%NC State 93%
The white mark is the call with him: NC State 96%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | NC State without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 NC State | ||||
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 3.5 | 93% | −3 | 61–79 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 3.0 | 94% | −2 | 61–79 |
| Christian Hammond | 2.9 | 94% | −2 | 61–80 |
| Preston Edmead | 2.4 | 94% | −2 | 61–80 |
 Campbell | ||||
| Nordin Kapic | 0.7 | 97% | +1 | 59–81 |
| Lance Waddles | 0.6 | 96% | 0 | 59–81 |
Change is in NC State's win chance, in points. Scores read Campbell, then NC State. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Campbell
No games yet this season: this is its first.
NC State
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Campbell | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.7 189th | 114.7 55th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.7 249th | 99.7 52nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.5 215th | 71.0 157th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.0% 224th | 51.9% 89th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.2% 298th | 50.2% 164th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 15.6% 6th | 18.6% 247th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.9% 236th | 33.5% 89th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 329th | 0.22 337th |
The widest gap: NC State's offense (55th) against Campbell's defense (249th), of 365 teams.
First half
NC State led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 10.2 points and the total by 5.9.
- At halftime
- Campbell 19, NC State 41
- Projected halftime score
- Campbell 27, NC State 39
- First-half margin
- NC State by 11.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Campbell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashawn InglemonG | 37 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| AJ Wright Jr.G | 36 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Lance WaddlesG | 35 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| Nordin KapicF | 31 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka SavanovicG | 20 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Caleb McAbeeG | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Karim RtailG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sentinel MooreF | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Karson RogersF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
NC State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius AdamsG | 31 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Ven-Allen LubinF | 26 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 3 |
| Preston EdmeadG | 26 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Paul McNeil Jr.G | 25 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian HammondG | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Eemeli YalahoF | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle EvansF | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Robert JurkovicF | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kingston WhittyG | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |