SC Upstate at Campbell
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 4:30 PM ET at John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center. SC Upstate our rank 310 · 1-3; Campbell our rank 215 · 0-3.
Who will win SC Upstate vs Campbell?
The model gives Campbell a 77% chance to beat South Carolina Upstate, with a projected score of Campbell 78, SC Upstate 70.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell | |||||
| InglemonG · 34 min | 19.7 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 20+ 48% | |
| WaddlesG · 35 min | 16.8 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 15+ 60% | |
| KapicF · 28 min | 10.9 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 10+ 54% | |
| Wright Jr.G · 34 min | 8.9 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 10+ 40% | |
| SC Upstate | |||||
| TubekF · 22 min | 10.7 | 5.1 | 0.4 | 10+ 53% | |
| WebbF · 23 min | 10.1 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 10+ 49% | |
| NaugleG · 26 min | 8.4 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 10+ 36% | |
| EdmondF · 25 min | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 10+ 32% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Nordin Kapic: SC Upstate 25%Campbell 75%
The white mark is the call with him: Campbell 77%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Campbell without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell | ||||
| Nordin Kapic | 0.7 | 75% | −2 | 70–78 |
| Lance Waddles | 0.6 | 76% | −1 | 70–78 |
Change is in Campbell's win chance, in points. Scores read SC Upstate, then Campbell. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
SC Upstate 1-3LLLW
- Nov 11W 104-49vs Bob Jones
- Nov 9L 56-65at CoastalCovered +10.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 6L 70-78vs SC StateDidn't cover −3.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 2L 70-83at East Carolina
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 75.0 and allowing 68.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SC Upstate | Campbell | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.1 316th | 103.7 189th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.4 276th | 110.7 249th |
| Possessions a game | 70.7 196th | 70.5 215th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.4% 321st | 50.0% 224th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.9% 141st | 52.2% 298th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.2% 298th | 15.6% 6th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.4% 207th | 30.9% 236th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 260th | 0.23 329th |
The widest gap: Campbell's offense (189th) against SC Upstate's defense (276th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- SC Upstate 32, Campbell 37
- First-half margin
- Campbell by 4.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.5
- Projected second half
- SC Upstate 37, Campbell 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- SC Upstate, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 38.5 scored, 33.2 allowed
- Campbell, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 26.3 scored, 35.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
SC Upstate
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ries NaugleG | 26 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Derek EdmondF | 25 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Amont'e Allen-JohnsonG | 24 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Miles WebbF | 23 | 10.1 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| David TubekF | 22 | 10.7 | 5.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Jalyn PattersonG | 22 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Alessandro PerottiF | 18 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 45% | |||||
| Coen CollierC | 16 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
Campbell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance WaddlesG | 35 | 16.8 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 7+ reb 49% · 3+ threes 43% | |||||
| AJ Wright Jr.G | 34 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 47% · 5+ ast 48% | |||||
| Rashawn InglemonG | 34 | 19.7 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| 20+ pts 48% · 4+ ast 43% · 3+ threes 53% | |||||
| Nordin KapicF | 28 | 10.9 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 6+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Sentinel MooreF | 23 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Caleb McAbeeG | 18 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Emilis ButkusG | 14 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 75% to play · 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Luka SavanovicG | 11 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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