SC Upstate 70, East Carolina 83
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum. SC Upstate our rank 310 · 1-3; East Carolina our rank 206 · 2-1.
Who won SC Upstate vs East Carolina?
Final: East Carolina 83, South Carolina Upstate 70. Before tip-off the model gave East Carolina a 79% chance to win, with a projected margin of 9.7 points for East Carolina. Kaseem Watson scored 17 for East Carolina; Jalyn Patterson had 16 for SC Upstate.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Kaden Cooper: SC Upstate 26%East Carolina 74%
The white mark is the call with him: East Carolina 79%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | East Carolina without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | ||||
| Kaden Cooper | 1.7 | 74% | −5 | 64–72 |
| Brycen Blaine | 0.9 | 76% | −3 | 63–72 |
Change is in East Carolina's win chance, in points. Scores read SC Upstate, then East Carolina. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
SC Upstate
No games yet this season: this is its first.
East Carolina
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SC Upstate | East Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.1 316th | 100.2 267th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.4 276th | 106.9 147th |
| Possessions a game | 70.7 196th | 72.0 63rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.4% 321st | 49.2% 274th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.9% 141st | 51.0% 217th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.2% 298th | 18.6% 242nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.4% 207th | 28.4% 343rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 260th | 0.27 123rd |
The widest gap: East Carolina's defense (147th) against SC Upstate's offense (316th), of 365 teams.
First half
East Carolina led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 6.7 points and the total by 12.5.
- At halftime
- SC Upstate 32, East Carolina 44
- Projected halftime score
- SC Upstate 29, East Carolina 34
- First-half margin
- East Carolina by 5.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
SC Upstate
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles WebbF | 30 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Amont'e Allen-JohnsonG | 30 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Derek EdmondF | 29 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Ries NaugleG | 26 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| David TubekF | 25 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Jalyn PattersonG | 22 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Coen CollierC | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Alessandro PerottiF | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Zachary JohnsonF | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
East Carolina
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian MedleyG | 35 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| Kaseem WatsonF | 33 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Kaden CooperF | 30 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Brycen BlaineG | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Trevor BestG | 27 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Maxim KlitschkoC | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Eli DeLaurierC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordyn BuchananF | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Matthew HintonC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |