Delaware St at East Carolina
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 4:00 PM ET at Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum. Delaware St our rank 319 · 1-2; East Carolina our rank 206 · 2-1.
Who will win Delaware St vs East Carolina?
The model gives East Carolina a 81% chance to beat Delaware State, with a projected score of East Carolina 76, Delaware St 66.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | |||||
| WatsonF · 34 min | 14.2 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 15+ 44% | |
| BlaineG · 30 min | 13.0 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 15+ 37% | |
| MedleyG · 34 min | 12.9 | 2.9 | 7.8 | 15+ 36% | |
| BestG · 27 min | 12.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 10+ 64% | |
| Delaware St | |||||
| ReedusSG · 33 min | 15.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 15+ 54% | |
| MuhammadPG · 26 min | 12.7 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 15+ 35% | |
| ObioraF · 29 min | 11.3 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| ParkerG · 25 min | 9.1 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 10+ 42% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kaden Cooper: Delaware St 24%East Carolina 76%
The white mark is the call with him: East Carolina 81%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | East Carolina without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | ||||
| Kaden Cooper | 1.7 | 76% | −5 | 67–75 |
| Brycen Blaine | 0.9 | 78% | −3 | 67–76 |
Change is in East Carolina's win chance, in points. Scores read Delaware St, then East Carolina. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Delaware St 1-2WLL
- Nov 10L 78-83at GeorgetownCovered +30.5 · Over 143.5
- Nov 5L 60-66at NavyCovered +9.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 2W 86-52vs Saint Vincent
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 74.7 and allowing 67.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
East Carolina 2-1WLW
- Nov 11W 72-67vs NC A&TDidn't cover −11.5 · Under 151.5
- Nov 7L 75-78vs UNC WilmingtonCovered +5.5 · Over 151.5
- Nov 2W 83-70vs SC Upstate
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 76.7 and allowing 71.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Delaware St | East Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.4 334th | 100.2 267th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.2 266th | 106.9 147th |
| Possessions a game | 69.8 286th | 72.0 63rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.5% 62nd | 49.2% 274th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.2% 162nd | 51.0% 217th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.4% 314th | 18.6% 242nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.8% 247th | 28.4% 343rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 236th | 0.27 123rd |
The widest gap: East Carolina's defense (147th) against Delaware St's offense (334th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Delaware St 31, East Carolina 36
- First-half margin
- East Carolina by 5.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.9
- Projected second half
- Delaware St 36, East Carolina 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Delaware St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 29.7 allowed
- East Carolina, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 37.3 scored, 30.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Delaware St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nehemiah ReedusSG | 33 | 15.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Joshua ObioraF | 29 | 11.3 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Nasir MuhammadPG | 26 | 12.7 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 3+ ast 51% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Anthony ParkerG | 25 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Rahmir MooreG | 19 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
| Isaiah SullivanSG | 16 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Muazibini AdamuF | 15 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 3+ reb 56% | |||||
| Farouk MuntariF | 14 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 49% | |||||
East Carolina
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaseem WatsonF | 34 | 14.2 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Cian MedleyG | 34 | 12.9 | 2.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 52% · 8+ ast 50% | |||||
| Brycen BlaineG | 30 | 13.0 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Trevor BestG | 27 | 12.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Kaden CooperF | 24 | 9.6 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 7+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Eli DeLaurierC | 14 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 42% | |||||
| Maxim KlitschkoC | 13 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 42% | |||||
| Jordyn BuchananF | 13 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 26% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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