Niagara at Delaware St
Friday, November 20, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Memorial Hall (DE). Niagara our rank 359 · 0-3; Delaware St our rank 319 · 1-2.
Who will win Niagara vs Delaware St?
The model gives Delaware State a 76% chance to beat Niagara, with a projected score of Delaware St 72, Niagara 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware St | |||||
| ReedusSG · 34 min | 17.0 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 15+ 61% | |
| MuhammadPG · 26 min | 13.7 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 15+ 41% | |
| ObioraF · 29 min | 12.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 10+ 63% | |
| ParkerG · 25 min | 9.8 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 10+ 47% | |
| Niagara | |||||
| WoodsG · 30 min | 11.1 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 10+ 56% | |
| MiccoliG · 28 min | 9.4 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 10+ 44% | |
| RottaF · 23 min | 8.1 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 10+ 34% | |
| RieberG · 31 min | 7.6 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 5+ 69% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Niagara 0-3LLL
- Nov 12L 76-88at Bowling GreenCovered +14.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 7L 67-73vs Morgan StDidn't cover −3.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 2L 46-91at West Virginia
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 63.0 and allowing 84.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Delaware St 1-2WLL
- Nov 10L 78-83at GeorgetownCovered +30.5 · Over 143.5
- Nov 5L 60-66at NavyCovered +9.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 2W 86-52vs Saint Vincent
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 74.7 and allowing 67.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Niagara | Delaware St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 90.2 364th | 95.4 334th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.2 327th | 111.2 266th |
| Possessions a game | 69.6 302nd | 69.8 286th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.1% 213th | 52.5% 62nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.1% 232nd | 50.2% 162nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.9% 338th | 19.4% 314th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 26.7% 360th | 30.8% 247th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 238th | 0.25 236th |
The widest gap: Delaware St's defense (266th) against Niagara's offense (364th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Niagara 30, Delaware St 34
- First-half margin
- Delaware St by 4.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.8
- Projected second half
- Niagara 34, Delaware St 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 72.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Niagara, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 31.7 scored, 43.0 allowed
- Delaware St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 29.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Niagara
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien RieberG | 31 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Logan WoodsG | 30 | 11.1 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Samuele MiccoliG | 28 | 9.4 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Fidel RottaF | 23 | 8.1 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Ruey RueyG | 22 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Tae BlackshearG | 17 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 40% · 2+ threes 34% | |||||
| Cole FarrellG | 14 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Trenton WaltersG | 14 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
Delaware St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nehemiah ReedusSG | 34 | 17.0 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 61% · 3+ ast 54% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Joshua ObioraF | 29 | 12.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Nasir MuhammadPG | 26 | 13.7 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 58% | |||||
| Anthony ParkerG | 25 | 9.8 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 4+ ast 43% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Rahmir MooreG | 19 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Isaiah SullivanSG | 16 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Muazibini AdamuF | 15 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 4+ reb 41% | |||||
| Farouk MuntariF | 14 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 53% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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