Niagara 46, West Virginia 91
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Hope Coliseum. Niagara our rank 359 · 0-3; West Virginia our rank 45 · 3-0.
Who won Niagara vs West Virginia?
Final: West Virginia 91, Niagara 46. Before tip-off the model gave West Virginia a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 26.9 points for West Virginia. Miles Sadler scored 16 for West Virginia; Logan Woods had 12 for Niagara.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Brenen Lorient: Niagara 3%West Virginia 97%
The white mark is the call with him: West Virginia 99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | West Virginia without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | ||||
| Brenen Lorient | 3.0 | 97% | −2 | 50–74 |
| Finley Bizjack | 2.7 | 98% | −1 | 50–74 |
| Javan Buchanan | 2.5 | 98% | −1 | 50–75 |
| Joson Sanon | 2.1 | 98% | −1 | 50–75 |
Change is in West Virginia's win chance, in points. Scores read Niagara, then West Virginia. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Niagara
No games yet this season: this is its first.
West Virginia
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Niagara | West Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 90.2 364th | 111.3 80th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.2 327th | 94.9 23rd |
| Possessions a game | 69.6 302nd | 68.8 344th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.1% 213th | 51.4% 116th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.1% 232nd | 49.4% 101st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.9% 338th | 17.1% 75th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 26.7% 360th | 32.1% 153rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 238th | 0.27 135th |
The widest gap: West Virginia's defense (23rd) against Niagara's offense (364th), of 365 teams.
First half
West Virginia led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 1.8 points and the total by 14.5.
- At halftime
- Niagara 30, West Virginia 43
- Projected halftime score
- Niagara 22, West Virginia 37
- First-half margin
- West Virginia by 14.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 58.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Niagara
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien RieberG | 28 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Logan WoodsG | 27 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Ruey RueyG | 26 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Cole FarrellG | 24 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Trenton WaltersG | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Fidel RottaF | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Samuele MiccoliG | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tae BlackshearG | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Daniel EmokhareF | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
West Virginia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles SadlerG | 28 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Brenen LorientF | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Finley BizjackG | 24 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Martin SomervilleG | 22 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Javan BuchananF | 21 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Joson SanonG | 20 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| Mouhamed SyllaC | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Amadou SeiniC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Seydou TraoreG | 15 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |