Long Island at Fordham
Friday, November 13, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Rose Hill Gym. Long Island our rank 268 · 0-4; Fordham our rank 134 · 2-1.
Who will win Long Island vs Fordham?
The model gives Fordham a 84% chance to beat Long Island University, with a projected score of Fordham 76, Long Island 65. The spread is Fordham −12.5, with an over/under of 143.5. The model makes it Fordham by 11.0, 1.5 points toward Long Island, and projects 141 total points.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham | |||||
| Patrick Jr.G · 26 min | 15.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 15+ 51% | |
| LindseyG · 30 min | 13.8 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 15+ 42% | |
| JacobsF · 27 min | 10.2 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 10+ 49% | |
| SchulteF · 26 min | 8.6 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 10+ 38% | |
| Long Island | |||||
| AlletteG · 32 min | 11.3 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 10+ 57% | |
| DavisG · 31 min | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 10+ 57% | |
| JohnsonF · 21 min | 7.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5+ 66% | |
| BowlesF · 27 min | 6.9 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 5+ 63% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Rikus Schulte: Long Island 20%Fordham 80%
The white mark is the call with him: Fordham 84%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Fordham without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham | ||||
| Rikus Schulte | 1.6 | 80% | −4 | 66–75 |
| Lateef Patrick Jr. | 1.4 | 81% | −3 | 66–75 |
| Kelvin Odih | 1.1 | 81% | −3 | 66–75 |
| Abass Bodija | 0.8 | 82% | −2 | 65–76 |
| Long Island | ||||
| Vasean Allette | 1.0 | 86% | +2 | 64–77 |
Change is in Fordham's win chance, in points. Scores read Long Island, then Fordham. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
| Spread | Over/under | |
|---|---|---|
| Line | Fordham −12.5 | 143.5 |
| Model | Fordham −11 | 141.0 |
| Gap | 1.5 toward Long Island | 2.5 lower |
A gap is a difference of opinion, not a tip. This season the model's side has covered 163 of 337 spreads (48%); over 11,507 games in the last two seasons it covered 50.6%. It takes about 52.4% to break even at standard odds. Scorecard
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Long Island 0-4LLLL
- Nov 9L 46-66at TowsonDidn't cover +7.5 · Under 140.5
- Nov 7L 80-88at La SalleDidn't cover +4.5 · Over 150.5
- Nov 5L 60-67at Seton HallCovered +17.5 · Under 135.5
- Nov 2L 60-74at FAU
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 61.5 and allowing 73.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Long Island | Fordham | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.4 333rd | 105.2 160th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.7 143rd | 106.1 132nd |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 143rd | 70.0 266th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.0% 335th | 51.5% 106th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.4% 43rd | 52.0% 286th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.0% 285th | 19.6% 326th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.7% 297th | 31.5% 196th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 166th | 0.25 220th |
The widest gap: Fordham's defense (132nd) against Long Island's offense (333rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Long Island 30, Fordham 36
- First-half margin
- Fordham by 6.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.2
- Projected second half
- Long Island 35, Fordham 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Long Island, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 30.0 scored, 36.0 allowed
- Fordham, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 34.7 scored, 36.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Long Island
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasean AlletteG | 32 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 5+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Daquan DavisG | 31 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Tyrell BowlesF | 27 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Justin JohnsonF | 21 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Ryan BewleyF | 20 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
| Josh PickettG | 18 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Joshua SkinnerG | 17 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Max Ndlovu-FraserG | 12 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 67% to play · 2+ reb 31% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
Fordham
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir LindseyG | 30 | 13.8 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Akira JacobsF | 27 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Lateef Patrick Jr.G | 26 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 53% · 3+ threes 45% | |||||
| Rikus SchulteF | 26 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 8+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Abass BodijaF | 20 | 8.0 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Hassan KoureissiG | 19 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Kelvin OdihG | 17 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Roor AkhuarF | 17 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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