Long Island 60, FAU 74
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena. Long Island our rank 268 · 0-4; FAU our rank 170 · 2-1.
Who won Long Island vs FAU?
Final: Florida Atlantic 74, Long Island University 60. Before tip-off the model gave Florida Atlantic a 93% chance to win, with a projected margin of 18.5 points for Florida Atlantic. Kanaan Carlyle scored 20 for FAU; Daquan Davis had 16 for Long Island.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Kanaan Carlyle: Long Island 8%FAU 92%
The white mark is the call with him: FAU 93%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | FAU without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU | ||||
| Kanaan Carlyle | 1.4 | 92% | −1 | 60–77 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 1.3 | 92% | −1 | 60–77 |
| Josh Harris | 1.2 | 92% | −1 | 60–77 |
| Braeden Speed | 0.7 | 93% | 0 | 59–77 |
| Long Island | ||||
| Vasean Allette | 1.0 | 94% | +1 | 59–78 |
Change is in FAU's win chance, in points. Scores read Long Island, then FAU. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Long Island
No games yet this season: this is its first.
FAU
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Long Island | FAU | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.4 333rd | 106.7 131st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.7 143rd | 111.0 261st |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 143rd | 72.0 63rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.0% 335th | 50.5% 180th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.4% 43rd | 51.7% 270th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.0% 285th | 18.8% 267th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.7% 297th | 31.1% 222nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 166th | 0.28 89th |
The widest gap: FAU's defense (261st) against Long Island's offense (333rd), of 365 teams.
First half
FAU led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 2.1 points and the total by 1.9.
- At halftime
- Long Island 29, FAU 37
- Projected halftime score
- Long Island 27, FAU 37
- First-half margin
- FAU by 10.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Long Island
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell BowlesF | 29 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| Deshawn Jean-CharlesG | 29 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Daquan DavisG | 28 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Kamari JonesG | 26 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Vasean AlletteG | 24 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan BewleyF | 16 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt BewleyF | 15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin JohnsonF | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua SkinnerG | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
FAU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanaan CarlyleG | 34 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Felipe QuinonesG | 32 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Milhan CharlesG | 30 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh HarrisF | 29 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Mason Porter-BrownF | 21 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Kieran MullenC | 21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Tacko IfaolaC | 19 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Braeden SpeedG | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |