Who will win Fordham vs Manhattan?
The model gives Fordham a 80% chance to beat Manhattan, with a projected score of Fordham 78, Manhattan 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fordham | |||||
| Patrick Jr.G · 27 min | 15.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 15+ 54% | |
| LindseyG · 30 min | 14.2 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 15+ 44% | |
| JacobsF · 27 min | 10.4 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 10+ 51% | |
| SchulteF · 26 min | 8.8 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 10+ 40% | |
 Manhattan | |||||
| PearceG · 30 min | 11.5 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 10+ 58% | |
| SabinoG · 26 min | 8.6 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 10+ 38% | |
| TweedyG · 26 min | 7.6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 5+ 69% | |
| ManojlovicF · 18 min | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 5+ 68% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Rikus Schulte: Fordham 76%Manhattan 24%
The white mark is the call with him: Fordham 80%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Fordham without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham | ||||
| Rikus Schulte | 1.6 | 76% | −4 | 77–69 |
| Lateef Patrick Jr. | 1.4 | 76% | −4 | 77–69 |
| Kelvin Odih | 1.1 | 77% | −3 | 77–69 |
| Abass Bodija | 0.8 | 78% | −2 | 78–69 |
Change is in Fordham's win chance, in points. Scores read Fordham, then Manhattan. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Fordham | Manhattan | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.2 160th | 98.0 303rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.1 132nd | 114.0 322nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 70.4 222nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.5% 106th | 49.0% 289th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.0% 286th | 50.9% 205th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.6% 326th | 18.6% 251st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.5% 196th | 30.6% 256th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 220th | 0.27 141st |
The widest gap: Fordham's defense (132nd) against Manhattan's offense (303rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Fordham 37, Manhattan 32
- First-half margin
- Fordham by 5.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.8
- Projected second half
- Fordham 41, Manhattan 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 77.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Fordham, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 34.7 scored, 36.7 allowed
- Manhattan, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 26.7 scored, 36.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Fordham
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir LindseyG | 30 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Akira JacobsF | 27 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Lateef Patrick Jr.G | 27 | 15.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 54% · 3+ threes 46% | |||||
| Rikus SchulteF | 26 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 8+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Abass BodijaF | 20 | 8.2 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Hassan KoureissiG | 19 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Kelvin OdihG | 17 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Roor AkhuarF | 17 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
Manhattan
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben PearceG | 30 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 58% · 3+ ast 41% | |||||
| Ben TweedyG | 26 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 62% | |||||
| Josiah SabinoG | 26 | 8.6 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Ognjen StankovicF | 25 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| Isaac JohnsonF | 22 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Novak ManojlovicF | 18 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 51% to play · 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Kevin KearneyF | 15 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Quron ElliottG | 15 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
Missed the last game: Novak Manojlovic (20 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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