Who will win Manhattan vs Le Moyne?
The model gives Le Moyne a 52% chance to beat Manhattan, with a projected score of Le Moyne 75, Manhattan 75.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Le Moyne | |||||
| RoeF · 26 min | 13.8 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 15+ 41% | |
| FrancisF · 18 min | 9.4 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 10+ 43% | |
| TeatG · 23 min | 8.7 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 10+ 39% | |
| WilliamsG · 16 min | 6.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5+ 57% | |
 Manhattan | |||||
| PearceG · 31 min | 12.7 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 15+ 35% | |
| SabinoG · 26 min | 9.4 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 10+ 44% | |
| TweedyG · 27 min | 8.3 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 10+ 35% | |
| ManojlovicF · 18 min | 8.1 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 10+ 34% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Manhattan | Le Moyne | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.0 303rd | 95.9 326th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.0 322nd | 114.8 333rd |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 71.9 73rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.0% 289th | 49.3% 267th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.9% 205th | 51.3% 242nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.6% 251st | 18.9% 277th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.6% 256th | 29.3% 316th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 141st | 0.26 181st |
The widest gap: Manhattan's offense (303rd) against Le Moyne's defense (333rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Manhattan 35, Le Moyne 35
- First-half margin
- Le Moyne by 0.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.4
- Projected second half
- Manhattan 40, Le Moyne 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Manhattan, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 26.7 scored, 36.3 allowed
- Le Moyne, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 34.0 scored, 44.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Manhattan
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben PearceG | 31 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Ben TweedyG | 27 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ ast 46% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Josiah SabinoG | 26 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 6+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Ognjen StankovicF | 26 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Isaac JohnsonF | 22 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
| Novak ManojlovicF | 18 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 51% to play · 10+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
| Kevin KearneyF | 15 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Quron ElliottG | 15 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
Missed the last game: Novak Manojlovic (20 min a game).
Le Moyne
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor RoeF | 26 | 13.8 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 2.7 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 2+ ast 54% · 3+ threes 47% | |||||
| Jayden TeatG | 23 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Leandro GyselG | 20 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Ty FrancisF | 18 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Damien KingG | 17 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Khalil WilliamsG | 16 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Kole WilliamsG | 15 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Kaden StuckeyF | 15 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 44% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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