Who won Le Moyne vs Nebraska?
Final: Nebraska 106, Le Moyne 64. Before tip-off the model gave Nebraska a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 38.7 points for Nebraska. Pryce Sandfort scored 20 for Nebraska; Trevor Roe had 20 for Le Moyne.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Pryce Sandfort: Le Moyne <1%Nebraska >99%
The white mark is the call with him: Nebraska >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Nebraska without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nebraska | ||||
| Pryce Sandfort | 4.9 | >99% | 0 | 51–85 |
| Braden Frager | 3.9 | >99% | 0 | 50–85 |
| Cale Jacobsen | 3.2 | >99% | 0 | 50–86 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 2.3 | >99% | 0 | 50–86 |
Change is in Nebraska's win chance, in points. Scores read Le Moyne, then Nebraska. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Le Moyne
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Nebraska
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Le Moyne | Nebraska | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.9 326th | 118.2 19th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.8 333rd | 94.6 21st |
| Possessions a game | 71.9 73rd | 70.4 222nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.3% 267th | 52.8% 48th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.3% 242nd | 47.8% 28th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.9% 277th | 17.1% 76th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.3% 316th | 31.1% 226th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 181st | 0.28 105th |
The widest gap: Nebraska's offense (19th) against Le Moyne's defense (333rd), of 365 teams.
First half
Nebraska led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 4.8 points and the total by 26.4.
- At halftime
- Le Moyne 32, Nebraska 58
- Projected halftime score
- Le Moyne 21, Nebraska 42
- First-half margin
- Nebraska by 21.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Le Moyne
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden TeatG | 30 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Trevor RoeF | 29 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| Damien KingG | 28 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Kaden StuckeyF | 25 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Leandro GyselG | 23 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Ty FrancisF | 18 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Connor JohnsonF | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah BrownG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremy ClayvilleG | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nebraska
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden FragerF | 27 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Pryce SandfortF | 26 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Cale JacobsenG | 25 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Jacob LanierG | 23 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Trevan LeonhardtG | 21 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Boden KapkeF | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Taj DeGourvilleG | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Damon WilkinsonF | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Connor EssegianG | 7 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 |