Radford 62, San Francisco 76
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at The Sobrato Center. Radford our rank 219 · 0-3; San Francisco our rank 127 · 3-0.
Who won Radford vs San Francisco?
Final: San Francisco 76, Radford 62. Before tip-off the model gave San Francisco a 81% chance to win, with a projected margin of 10.7 points for San Francisco. Dylan Bordon scored 20 for San Francisco; Frederik Erichsen had 12 for Radford.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Ben Oosterbaan: Radford 23%San Francisco 77%
The white mark is the call with him: San Francisco 81%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | San Francisco without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | ||||
| Ben Oosterbaan | 1.6 | 77% | −4 | 64–73 |
| Ndewedo Newbury | 1.4 | 78% | −3 | 64–73 |
| Gustav Knudsen | 0.5 | 80% | −1 | 64–74 |
| Radford | ||||
| Mathieu Grujicic | 0.8 | 83% | +2 | 63–74 |
| Ja'Corey Robinson | 0.7 | 82% | +1 | 63–74 |
| Zion Walker | 0.6 | 82% | +1 | 63–74 |
Change is in San Francisco's win chance, in points. Scores read Radford, then San Francisco. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Radford
No games yet this season: this is its first.
San Francisco
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Radford | San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.8 278th | 104.3 175th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 107.0 148th | 104.3 106th |
| Possessions a game | 72.0 63rd | 69.8 286th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.1% 281st | 48.6% 311th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.9% 210th | 50.2% 159th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.6% 324th | 19.2% 302nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.8% 242nd | 34.0% 64th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 288th | 0.29 45th |
The widest gap: San Francisco's defense (106th) against Radford's offense (278th), of 365 teams.
First half
San Francisco led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 1.1 points and the total by 2.5.
- At halftime
- Radford 30, San Francisco 37
- Projected halftime score
- Radford 29, San Francisco 35
- First-half margin
- San Francisco by 5.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Radford
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik ErichsenF | 29 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Ja'Corey RobinsonG | 27 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Mathieu GrujicicG | 25 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Tristan GrossG | 25 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Zion WalkerG | 24 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Warren Keel Jr.G | 23 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Gabriel FerreiraC | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Parby KabambaF | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Cameron JacksonF | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
San Francisco
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustav KnudsenF | 37 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Dylan BordonG | 36 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Ben OosterbaanF | 32 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Ismaila DiagneC | 28 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| Yoav VitlemG | 22 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Aidan BracciaG | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Ndewedo NewburyF | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew HilmanG | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Hunter-ColemanG | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |