Who won Furman vs Bethune?
Final: Furman 79, Bethune-Cookman 70. Before tip-off the model gave Furman a 77% chance to win, with a projected margin of 9.1 points for Furman. Charles Johnston scored 23 for Furman; Mari Jordan had 22 for Bethune.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Charles Johnston: Furman 73%Bethune 27%
The white mark is the call with him: Furman 77%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Furman without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Furman | ||||
| Charles Johnston | 1.7 | 73% | −4 | 71–64 |
| Marcus Kell | 1.0 | 75% | −2 | 72–63 |
| Jordan Butler | 0.9 | 75% | −2 | 72–63 |
| Tom House | 0.9 | 75% | −2 | 72–63 |
Change is in Furman's win chance, in points. Scores read Furman, then Bethune. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Furman
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Bethune
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Furman | Bethune | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 107.1 122nd | 100.3 263rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.5 139th | 111.4 275th |
| Possessions a game | 70.6 209th | 71.8 79th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.8% 93rd | 51.4% 114th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.1% 72nd | 52.4% 308th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.3% 97th | 18.5% 235th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.2% 217th | 31.6% 194th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.32 11th | 0.28 93rd |
The widest gap: Furman's offense (122nd) against Bethune's defense (275th), of 365 teams.
First half
Furman led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 6.0 points and the total by 3.7.
- At halftime
- Furman 39, Bethune 28
- Projected halftime score
- Furman 34, Bethune 29
- First-half margin
- Furman by 5.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Furman
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles JohnstonF | 35 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 6 |
| Luka ToewsG | 31 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Tom HouseG | 31 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Marcus KellF | 28 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Abijah FranklinG | 26 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Collin O'NealG | 22 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Davis MolnarF | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron ElwerG | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan ButlerF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Bethune
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vuk BoskovicF | 33 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Mari JordanG | 29 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Jameel MorrisG | 28 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Daniel JohnsonF | 25 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Kevin Patton Jr.G | 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaylen JonesG | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Quentin HeadyF | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| IJ EzumaF | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Melian MartinezC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |