Who will win Bethune vs Creighton?
The model gives Creighton a 98% chance to beat Bethune-Cookman, with a projected score of Creighton 87, Bethune 63.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Creighton | |||||
| EnisG · 29 min | 17.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 15+ 62% | |
| DavisG · 26 min | 15.3 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 15+ 51% | |
| SwartzG · 24 min | 8.7 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 10+ 38% | |
| McAndrewF · 20 min | 8.1 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 10+ 34% | |
 Bethune | |||||
| Perez-RouzanF · 22 min | 10.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 10+ 51% | |
| MorrisG · 22 min | 9.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 10+ 43% | |
| JonesG · 23 min | 8.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 10+ 38% | |
| JordanG · 22 min | 8.6 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 10+ 38% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without BJ Davis: Bethune 3%Creighton 97%
The white mark is the call with him: Creighton 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Creighton without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creighton | ||||
| BJ Davis | 3.2 | 97% | −1 | 65–86 |
| Wes Enis | 2.5 | 97% | −1 | 64–86 |
| Jasen Green | 2.3 | 97% | −1 | 64–86 |
| Austin Swartz | 2.2 | 97% | −1 | 64–86 |
Change is in Creighton's win chance, in points. Scores read Bethune, then Creighton. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Bethune 0-4LLLL
- Nov 11L 75-88at San Diego StCovered +18.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 7L 81-99at Grand CanyonCovered +22.5 · Over 155.5
- Nov 5L 58-76at Texas TechCovered +30.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 2L 70-79vs Furman
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 71.0 and allowing 85.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 3–0
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Bethune | Creighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.3 263rd | 111.1 83rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.4 275th | 97.3 32nd |
| Possessions a game | 71.8 79th | 71.4 111th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.4% 114th | 49.3% 267th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.4% 308th | 51.5% 260th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.5% 235th | 18.5% 229th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.6% 194th | 33.7% 76th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 93rd | 0.25 263rd |
The widest gap: Creighton's defense (32nd) against Bethune's offense (263rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Bethune 29, Creighton 42
- First-half margin
- Creighton by 13.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.5
- Projected second half
- Bethune 34, Creighton 45
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Bethune, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 32.5 scored, 42.0 allowed
- Creighton, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 42.3 scored, 32.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Bethune
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JohnsonF | 26 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Vuk BoskovicF | 25 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Jaylen JonesG | 23 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Jameel MorrisG | 22 | 9.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Daniel Perez-RouzanF | 22 | 10.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Mari JordanG | 22 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Quentin HeadyF | 21 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 20% | |||||
| Kevin Patton Jr.G | 19 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 51% to play · 5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kevin Patton Jr. (22 min a game).
Creighton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes EnisG | 29 | 17.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 3.8 |
| 15+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 50% · 4+ threes 48% | |||||
| BJ DavisG | 26 | 15.3 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Austin SwartzG | 24 | 8.7 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Jackson McAndrewF | 20 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Hudson GreerG | 20 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Jasen GreenF | 19 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 50% | |||||
| Katrelle HarmonG | 18 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 3+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Oswin ErhunmwunseF | 17 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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