Kansas City 61, Creighton 76
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at CHI Health Center Omaha. Kansas City our rank 287 · 2-3; Creighton our rank 60 · 2-1.
Who won Kansas City vs Creighton?
Final: Creighton 76, Kansas City 61. Before tip-off the model gave Creighton a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 32.6 points for Creighton. Wes Enis scored 25 for Creighton; Jaylen Smith had 15 for Kansas City.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without BJ Davis: Kansas City 1%Creighton 99%
The white mark is the call with him: Creighton >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Creighton without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creighton | ||||
| BJ Davis | 3.2 | 99% | −1 | 55–84 |
| Wes Enis | 2.5 | 99% | −1 | 54–84 |
| Jasen Green | 2.3 | 99% | −1 | 54–84 |
| Austin Swartz | 2.2 | 99% | −1 | 54–84 |
Change is in Creighton's win chance, in points. Scores read Kansas City, then Creighton. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Kansas City
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Creighton
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Kansas City | Creighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.8 276th | 111.1 83rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.4 297th | 97.3 32nd |
| Possessions a game | 71.6 95th | 71.4 111th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 53.7% 19th | 49.3% 267th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.5% 186th | 51.5% 260th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.1% 188th | 18.5% 229th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 26.3% 365th | 33.7% 76th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 118th | 0.25 263rd |
The widest gap: Creighton's defense (32nd) against Kansas City's offense (276th), of 365 teams.
First half
Kansas City led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 23.9 points and the total by 7.0.
- At halftime
- Kansas City 39, Creighton 33
- Projected halftime score
- Kansas City 24, Creighton 41
- First-half margin
- Creighton by 17.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Kansas City
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian HartmannF | 31 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Jaylen SmithG | 30 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr.G | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Atuka BakhtadzeF | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jibbe SickingF | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Assane DiopF | 16 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh KoriG | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| DJ Jackson Jr.G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Cameron LoveG | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Creighton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes EnisG | 33 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| Jackson McAndrewF | 26 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Austin SwartzG | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Katrelle HarmonG | 24 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| BJ DavisG | 22 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Hudson GreerG | 17 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Oswin ErhunmwunseF | 15 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Trevon Carter-GivensF | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasen GreenF | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |