Who will win Bethune vs Richmond?
The model gives Richmond a 88% chance to beat Bethune-Cookman, with a projected score of Richmond 82, Bethune 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Richmond | |||||
| StewartG · 26 min | 15.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 15+ 52% | |
| Kaiser Jr.F · 29 min | 14.3 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 15+ 45% | |
| DorriesC · 24 min | 11.1 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 10+ 56% | |
| BallF · 20 min | 10.7 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 10+ 53% | |
 Bethune | |||||
| Perez-RouzanF · 22 min | 11.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 58% | |
| MorrisG · 23 min | 10.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 10+ 50% | |
| JonesG · 23 min | 9.5 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 10+ 44% | |
| JohnsonF · 27 min | 9.4 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 10+ 44% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jamie Kaiser Jr.: Bethune 15%Richmond 85%
The white mark is the call with him: Richmond 88%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Richmond without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | ||||
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. | 1.5 | 85% | −3 | 70–81 |
| Aiden Argabright | 1.4 | 85% | −3 | 70–81 |
| Derin Saran | 1.4 | 85% | −3 | 70–81 |
| Andrew Ball | 1.0 | 86% | −2 | 69–81 |
Change is in Richmond's win chance, in points. Scores read Bethune, then Richmond. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Bethune 0-4LLLL
- Nov 11L 75-88at San Diego StCovered +18.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 7L 81-99at Grand CanyonCovered +22.5 · Over 155.5
- Nov 5L 58-76at Texas TechCovered +30.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 2L 70-79vs Furman
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 71.0 and allowing 85.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 3–0
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 1 under
Richmond 3-1WWWL
- Nov 12L 70-80at S IllinoisDidn't cover −2.5 · Under 150.5
- Nov 8W 79-53vs TempleCovered −1.5 · Under 150.5
- Nov 5W 107-46vs Southern Virginia
- Nov 2W 100-77vs UNC Asheville
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 89.0 and allowing 64.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Bethune | Richmond | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.3 263rd | 105.2 158th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.4 275th | 104.3 105th |
| Possessions a game | 71.8 79th | 71.3 121st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.4% 114th | 53.3% 28th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.4% 308th | 49.3% 94th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.5% 235th | 18.8% 267th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.6% 194th | 31.8% 181st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 93rd | 0.23 336th |
The widest gap: Richmond's defense (105th) against Bethune's offense (263rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Bethune 32, Richmond 39
- First-half margin
- Richmond by 7.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.7
- Projected second half
- Bethune 37, Richmond 43
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Bethune, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 32.5 scored, 42.0 allowed
- Richmond, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 45.8 scored, 27.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Bethune
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JohnsonF | 27 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| Vuk BoskovicF | 25 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Jaylen JonesG | 23 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Jameel MorrisG | 23 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 2+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Daniel Perez-RouzanF | 22 | 11.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Mari JordanG | 22 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Quentin HeadyF | 21 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
| Kevin Patton Jr.G | 20 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 51% to play · 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
Missed the last game: Kevin Patton Jr. (22 min a game).
Richmond
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Kaiser Jr.F | 29 | 14.3 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Derin SaranG | 27 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 6+ reb 56% · 5+ ast 55% | |||||
| Aiden ArgabrightG | 27 | 9.6 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Dominick StewartG | 26 | 15.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Amon DorriesC | 24 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 52% · 4+ ast 44% | |||||
| Andrew BallF | 20 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Will Harper IIIG | 14 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Chad CookF | 13 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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