Who will win Texas A&M vs Xavier?
The model gives Xavier a 53% chance to beat Texas A&M, with a projected score of Xavier 78, Texas A&M 77.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xavier | |||||
| NwokoF · 22 min | 11.8 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 10+ 61% | |
| WestryG · 19 min | 11.0 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 10+ 55% | |
| MilicevicF · 21 min | 10.2 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 10+ 50% | |
| WashingtonG · 23 min | 9.4 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 10+ 44% | |
 Texas A&M | |||||
| HaggertyG · 27 min | 17.9 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 20+ 38% | |
| PopeG · 25 min | 13.8 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 15+ 42% | |
| ShelleyF · 22 min | 9.7 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| MgbakoF · 22 min | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 10+ 41% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Mike Nwoko: Texas A&M 59%Xavier 41%
The white mark is the call with him: Xavier 53%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Xavier without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier | ||||
| Mike Nwoko | 3.3 | 41% | −12 | 79–76 |
| Tru Washington | 3.2 | 41% | −12 | 79–76 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 2.6 | 43% | −10 | 78–77 |
| Chance Westry | 2.6 | 43% | −10 | 78–77 |
| Texas A&M | ||||
| PJ Haggerty | 3.2 | 66% | +13 | 75–80 |
| Rylan Griffen | 3.1 | 66% | +13 | 75–80 |
| Jordan Pope | 2.8 | 65% | +12 | 76–79 |
| Mackenzie Mgbako | 2.3 | 63% | +10 | 76–79 |
Change is in Xavier's win chance, in points. Scores read Texas A&M, then Xavier. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Texas A&M 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 88-69vs Oklahoma StCovered −8.5 · Under 179.5
- Nov 9W 108-67vs UL MonroeCovered −36.5 · Over 169.5
- Nov 6W 104-67vs N KentuckyCovered −27.5 · Under 172.5
- Nov 3W 97-66vs Alabama St
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 99.2 and allowing 67.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 3–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
Xavier 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 100-55vs Detroit MercyCovered −35.5 · Under 157.5
- Nov 6W 76-53vs E MichiganDidn't cover −23.5 · Under 151.5
- Nov 2W 97-52vs Mount St Marys
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 91.0 and allowing 53.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Texas A&M | Xavier | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.4 49th | 114.1 61st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 93.8 16th | 92.3 13th |
| Possessions a game | 73.7 5th | 73.5 7th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 53.1% 33rd | 52.0% 83rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.1% 5th | 45.6% 2nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.8% 146th | 18.3% 205th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.3% 212th | 31.0% 228th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 74th | 0.24 294th |
The widest gap: Texas A&M's defense (16th) against Xavier's offense (61st), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Texas A&M 36, Xavier 37
- First-half margin
- Xavier by 0.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.7
- Projected second half
- Texas A&M 41, Xavier 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 82.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Texas A&M, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 50.0 scored, 31.2 allowed
- Xavier, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 42.7 scored, 20.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Texas A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ HaggertyG | 27 | 17.9 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 20+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Jordan PopeG | 25 | 13.8 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Rylan GriffenG | 23 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Jalen ShelleyF | 22 | 9.7 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 7+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Mackenzie MgbakoF | 22 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 38% | |||||
| Zach ClemenceF | 18 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Cade PhillipsF | 16 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 53% to play · 5+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 47% | |||||
| Josh IrvingF | 15 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Missed the last game: Cade Phillips (18 min a game).
Xavier
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip BorovicaninF | 24 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 6+ reb 50% · 4+ ast 50% | |||||
| Tru WashingtonG | 23 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Mike NwokoF | 22 | 11.8 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Jovan MilicevicF | 21 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Ruben DominguezG | 21 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Chance WestryG | 19 | 11.0 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Nikos ChitikoudisF | 18 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Gabriel PozzatoF | 16 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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