SE Louisiana at Texas A&M
Monday, November 16, 2026, 8:30 PM ET at Reed Arena. SE Louisiana our rank 305 · 1-2; Texas A&M our rank 29 · 4-0.
Who will win SE Louisiana vs Texas A&M?
The model gives Texas A&M a >99% chance to beat SE Louisiana, with a projected score of Texas A&M 91, SE Louisiana 60.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | |||||
| HaggertyG · 25 min | 19.3 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 20+ 45% | |
| PopeG · 24 min | 15.0 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 15+ 49% | |
| ShelleyF · 22 min | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 10+ 54% | |
| MgbakoF · 22 min | 10.1 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 10+ 49% | |
| SE Louisiana | |||||
| FurmanG · 23 min | 9.8 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 10+ 46% | |
| RolisonG · 28 min | 7.9 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 10+ 33% | |
| AllenG · 21 min | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 5+ 69% | |
| Sims IIF · 24 min | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without PJ Haggerty: SE Louisiana 1%Texas A&M 99%
The white mark is the call with him: Texas A&M >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Texas A&M without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | ||||
| PJ Haggerty | 3.2 | 99% | −1 | 61–90 |
| Rylan Griffen | 3.1 | 99% | −1 | 61–90 |
| Jordan Pope | 2.8 | 99% | −1 | 61–90 |
| Mackenzie Mgbako | 2.3 | >99% | 0 | 61–90 |
| SE Louisiana | ||||
| Yanis Ndjonga | 0.8 | >99% | 0 | 59–92 |
| Tyler Rolison | 0.6 | >99% | 0 | 60–91 |
Change is in Texas A&M's win chance, in points. Scores read SE Louisiana, then Texas A&M. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
SE Louisiana 1-2LWL
- Nov 10L 51-91at Ole MissDidn't cover +26.5 · Under 146.5
- Nov 7W 83-79at Little RockCovered +10.5 · Over 145.5
- Nov 4L 59-92at Auburn
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 64.3 and allowing 87.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Texas A&M 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 88-69vs Oklahoma StCovered −8.5 · Under 179.5
- Nov 9W 108-67vs UL MonroeCovered −36.5 · Over 169.5
- Nov 6W 104-67vs N KentuckyCovered −27.5 · Under 172.5
- Nov 3W 97-66vs Alabama St
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 99.2 and allowing 67.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 3–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SE Louisiana | Texas A&M | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.3 302nd | 115.4 49th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.3 296th | 93.8 16th |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 73.7 5th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.4% 192nd | 53.1% 33rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.2% 237th | 46.1% 5th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.7% 331st | 17.8% 146th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.4% 91st | 31.3% 212th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 202nd | 0.28 74th |
The widest gap: Texas A&M's defense (16th) against SE Louisiana's offense (302nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- SE Louisiana 27, Texas A&M 44
- First-half margin
- Texas A&M by 17.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.8
- Projected second half
- SE Louisiana 33, Texas A&M 47
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- SE Louisiana, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 30.3 scored, 43.3 allowed
- Texas A&M, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 50.0 scored, 31.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
SE Louisiana
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler RolisonG | 28 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 3+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Ashley Sims IIF | 24 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Jackson FurmanG | 23 | 9.8 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Quincy AllenG | 21 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Yanis NdjongaF | 20 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Garrett ShoemakerF | 19 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Logan SuberG | 18 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Gio SanfordG | 16 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
Texas A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ HaggertyG | 25 | 19.3 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 20+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| Jordan PopeG | 24 | 15.0 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| 15+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Rylan GriffenG | 22 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 59% · 3+ ast 39% | |||||
| Jalen ShelleyF | 22 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 54% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Mackenzie MgbakoF | 22 | 10.1 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Zach ClemenceF | 18 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Cade PhillipsF | 16 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 53% to play · 5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
| Josh IrvingF | 16 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
Missed the last game: Cade Phillips (18 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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