Mount St Marys 52, Xavier 97
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Cintas Center. Mount St Marys our rank 284 · 1-1; Xavier our rank 26 · 3-0.
Who won Mount St Marys vs Xavier?
Final: Xavier 97, Mount St. Mary's 52. Before tip-off the model gave Xavier a 98% chance to win, with a projected margin of 25.0 points for Xavier. Chance Westry scored 17 for Xavier; Abdou Khadre Kebe had 13 for Mount St Marys.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Mike Nwoko: Mount St Marys 4%Xavier 96%
The white mark is the call with him: Xavier 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Xavier without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier | ||||
| Mike Nwoko | 3.3 | 96% | −2 | 58–80 |
| Tru Washington | 3.2 | 96% | −2 | 58–80 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 2.6 | 97% | −1 | 58–80 |
| Chance Westry | 2.6 | 97% | −1 | 58–80 |
| Mount St Marys | ||||
| Cade Orness | 0.7 | 98% | 0 | 56–82 |
Change is in Xavier's win chance, in points. Scores read Mount St Marys, then Xavier. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…
Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Mount St Marys
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Xavier
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Mount St Marys | Xavier | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.6 331st | 114.1 61st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 107.9 170th | 92.3 13th |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 143rd | 73.5 7th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.5% 346th | 52.0% 83rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.6% 121st | 45.6% 2nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.4% 216th | 18.3% 205th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.6% 301st | 31.0% 228th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 265th | 0.24 294th |
The widest gap: Xavier's defense (13th) against Mount St Marys's offense (331st), of 365 teams.
First half
Xavier led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 21.3 points and the total by 2.2.
- At halftime
- Mount St Marys 16, Xavier 51
- Projected halftime score
- Mount St Marys 26, Xavier 39
- First-half margin
- Xavier by 13.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Mount St Marys
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilguens Jr. ExacteF | 29 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Redd Thompson Jr.G | 28 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Abdou Khadre KebeG | 26 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Arrington Jr.G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Cade OrnessG | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anastasios RozakeasG | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Julien SmithG | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Noah LimolF | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Crue GardF | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Xavier
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip BorovicaninF | 24 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
| Tru WashingtonG | 22 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Jovan MilicevicF | 21 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Ruben DominguezG | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Chance WestryG | 19 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Rolyns AligbeF | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Nikos ChitikoudisF | 18 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike NwokoF | 16 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Kalek HouseG | 16 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 |