New Hampshire at Boston College
Sunday, November 15, 2026, 1:30 PM ET at Conte Forum. New Hampshire our rank 314 · 3-1; Boston College our rank 84 · 3-0.
Who will win New Hampshire vs Boston College?
The model gives Boston College a 98% chance to beat New Hampshire, with a projected score of Boston College 81, New Hampshire 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | |||||
| WilliamsG · 33 min | 20.5 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 20+ 52% | |
| SmrekarG · 29 min | 12.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 10+ 64% | |
| HungerF · 25 min | 11.6 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 10+ 59% | |
| ZeiglerG · 28 min | 9.5 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 10+ 45% | |
| New Hampshire | |||||
| BikeG · 27 min | 8.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 10+ 40% | |
| ZanF · 26 min | 7.8 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 10+ 32% | |
| BlackleyG · 23 min | 7.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 5+ 68% | |
| ColemanG · 23 min | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5+ 58% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Money Williams: New Hampshire 5%Boston College 95%
The white mark is the call with him: Boston College 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Boston College without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | ||||
| Money Williams | 3.5 | 95% | −3 | 60–79 |
| Luke Hunger | 2.1 | 96% | −2 | 60–80 |
| Brandon Benjamin | 1.9 | 97% | −1 | 60–80 |
| Armoni Zeigler | 1.7 | 97% | −1 | 59–80 |
| New Hampshire | ||||
| Adam Squire | 0.6 | 98% | 0 | 58–81 |
Change is in Boston College's win chance, in points. Scores read New Hampshire, then Boston College. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
New Hampshire 3-1WWLW
- Nov 11W 114-55vs Thomas College
- Nov 8L 76-81vs Sacred HeartDidn't cover −1.5 · Over 145.5
- Nov 5W 66-55at RiderCovered −1.5 · Under 141.5
- Nov 2W 59-55at Brown
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 78.8 and allowing 61.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Boston College 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 82-54vs MD EasternCovered −26.5 · Over 128.5
- Nov 6W 71-55vs UMassCovered −6.5 · Under 144.5
- Nov 3W 76-50vs Wagner
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 76.3 and allowing 53.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| New Hampshire | Boston College | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 93.4 351st | 112.1 73rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.5 183rd | 102.8 94th |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 68.7 348th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.6% 307th | 49.8% 235th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.4% 7th | 48.5% 44th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.8% 149th | 17.6% 127th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 27.2% 357th | 36.1% 7th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.29 70th | 0.31 21st |
The widest gap: Boston College's defense (94th) against New Hampshire's offense (351st), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- New Hampshire 27, Boston College 39
- First-half margin
- Boston College by 12.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.4
- Projected second half
- New Hampshire 32, Boston College 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- New Hampshire, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 33.0 scored, 28.0 allowed
- Boston College, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 27.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
New Hampshire
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BikeG | 27 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| 47% to play · 10+ pts 40% · 2+ ast 61% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Ryan ZanF | 26 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| John SquireF | 23 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 19% | |||||
| Myles BlackleyG | 23 | 7.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Josiah ColemanG | 23 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Erik Oliver-BushG | 20 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Drew McKennaF | 19 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Adam SquireG | 18 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
Missed the last game: Tyler Bike (33 min a game).
Boston College
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money WilliamsG | 33 | 20.5 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 1.4 |
| 20+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 56% · 5+ ast 50% | |||||
| Zak SmrekarG | 29 | 12.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 39% | |||||
| Ernest SheltonG | 28 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Armoni ZeiglerG | 28 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 5+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Luke HungerF | 25 | 11.6 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Colby DugganF | 21 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Brandon BenjaminF | 18 | 8.2 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 7+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 34% | |||||
| JB FrankelG | 10 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 2+ reb 32% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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