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New Hampshire 59, Brown 55

Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Pizzitola Sports Center. New Hampshire our rank 314 · 3-1; Brown our rank 255 · 1-3.

Who won New Hampshire vs Brown?

Final: New Hampshire 59, Brown 55. Before tip-off the model gave New Hampshire a 11% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 15.1 points for Brown. Myles Blackley scored 15 for New Hampshire; Jeremiah Jenkins had 17 for Brown.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winBrown 89%New Hampshire 11%
Projected score57–72New Hampshire, then Brown
Margin15.1Brown · no line posted
Total129.8no line posted
First half26–35Brown ahead 78%
New Hampshire by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40Brown by 50Model: Brown by 15.1New Hampshire by 10by 10by 30Brown by 50Model: Brown by 15.1

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without N'famara Dabo: New Hampshire 12%Brown 88%

The white mark is the call with him: Brown 89%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsBrown without himChangeProjected score
Brown
N'famara Dabo0.588%−158–72
New Hampshire
Adam Squire0.690%+157–73

Change is in Brown's win chance, in points. Scores read New Hampshire, then Brown. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    New Hampshire

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Brown

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    New HampshireBrown
    Points scored per 100 possessions93.4 351st97.0 318th
    Points allowed per 100108.5 183rd107.3 157th
    Possessions a game70.4 222nd70.1 261st
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)48.6% 307th50.4% 191st
    Opponents' shooting46.4% 7th52.4% 304th
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.8% 149th20.5% 354th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses27.2% 357th30.7% 254th
    Free throws per shot0.29 70th0.20 365th

    The widest gap: Brown's defense (157th) against New Hampshire's offense (351st), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Brown led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 1.3 points and the total by 13.9.

    At halftime
    New Hampshire 20, Brown 27
    Projected halftime score
    New Hampshire 26, Brown 35
    First-half margin
    Brown by 8.3
    First-half points, both teams
    60.9
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    New Hampshire

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Myles BlackleyG3215722
    Tyler BikeG3013142
    Erik Oliver-BushG279101
    John SquireF264610
    Ryan ZanF245601
    Josiah ColemanG237220
    Drew McKennaF212420
    Giannos XanthopoulosC104200
    Kaleb MyersF70100

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