New Hampshire at Stonehill
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Merkert Gymnasium. New Hampshire our rank 314 · 3-1; Stonehill our rank 350 · 1-2.
Who will win New Hampshire vs Stonehill?
The model gives New Hampshire a 51% chance to beat Stonehill, with a projected score of New Hampshire 68, Stonehill 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire | |||||
| BikeG · 29 min | 11.2 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 10+ 57% | |
| ZanF · 28 min | 9.4 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 10+ 44% | |
| BlackleyG · 24 min | 8.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 10+ 39% | |
| ColemanG · 24 min | 7.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 5+ 68% | |
| Stonehill | |||||
| PatinoG · 26 min | 8.3 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10+ 36% | |
| MedalieF · 18 min | 7.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 5+ 69% | |
| Boldin Jr.G · 20 min | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 5+ 67% | |
| RuthG · 24 min | 6.3 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 5+ 59% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Adam Squire: New Hampshire 49%Stonehill 51%
The white mark is the call with him: New Hampshire 51%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | New Hampshire without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire | ||||
| Adam Squire | 0.6 | 49% | −2 | 68–68 |
Change is in New Hampshire's win chance, in points. Scores read New Hampshire, then Stonehill. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
New Hampshire 3-1WWLW
- Nov 11W 114-55vs Thomas College
- Nov 8L 76-81vs Sacred HeartDidn't cover −1.5 · Over 145.5
- Nov 5W 66-55at RiderCovered −1.5 · Under 141.5
- Nov 2W 59-55at Brown
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 78.8 and allowing 61.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| New Hampshire | Stonehill | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 93.4 351st | 93.2 352nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.5 183rd | 113.0 313th |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 70.0 266th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.6% 307th | 49.3% 273rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.4% 7th | 50.7% 199th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.8% 149th | 18.8% 264th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 27.2% 357th | 30.1% 274th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.29 70th | 0.27 126th |
The widest gap: New Hampshire's defense (183rd) against Stonehill's offense (352nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- New Hampshire 32, Stonehill 32
- First-half margin
- New Hampshire by 0.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.8
- Projected second half
- New Hampshire 36, Stonehill 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 72.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- New Hampshire, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 33.0 scored, 28.0 allowed
- Stonehill, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 37.7 scored, 29.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
New Hampshire
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BikeG | 29 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| 47% to play · 10+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Ryan ZanF | 28 | 9.4 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| John SquireF | 24 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Myles BlackleyG | 24 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Josiah ColemanG | 24 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Erik Oliver-BushG | 21 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Drew McKennaF | 19 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Adam SquireG | 18 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
Missed the last game: Tyler Bike (33 min a game).
Stonehill
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe PatinoG | 26 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 43% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Eli GreenbergG | 24 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Trenton RuthG | 24 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Devon ArlingtonG | 23 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Ewan SteeleF | 22 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Pearse McGuinnF | 22 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Anquan Boldin Jr.G | 20 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Jack MedalieF | 18 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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