Stonehill at Texas Tech
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at United Supermarkets Arena. Stonehill our rank 350 · 1-2; Texas Tech AP 16, our rank 13 · 3-0.
Who will win Stonehill vs Texas Tech?
The model gives Texas Tech a >99% chance to beat Stonehill, with a projected score of Texas Tech 89, Stonehill 51.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | |||||
| DavisG · 31 min | 16.5 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 15+ 58% | |
| Gibbs-LawhornG · 24 min | 15.6 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 15+ 52% | |
| DennisG · 19 min | 11.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 10+ 56% | |
| StillwellF · 23 min | 10.7 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 10+ 53% | |
| Stonehill | |||||
| PatinoG · 24 min | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 5+ 57% | |
| MedalieF · 17 min | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 5+ 56% | |
| Boldin Jr.G · 19 min | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5+ 52% | |
| RuthG · 23 min | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5+ 44% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Cruz Davis: Stonehill <1%Texas Tech >99%
The white mark is the call with him: Texas Tech >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Texas Tech without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | ||||
| Cruz Davis | 4.4 | >99% | 0 | 54–87 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 4.4 | >99% | 0 | 54–87 |
| Donovan Atwell | 4.1 | >99% | 0 | 53–87 |
| Darrion Williams | 3.4 | >99% | 0 | 53–88 |
Change is in Texas Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read Stonehill, then Texas Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Stonehill 1-2WLL
- Nov 9L 55-75at ColumbiaDidn't cover +13.5 · Under 143.5
- Nov 5L 63-83at FordhamCovered +20.5 · Over 141.5
- Nov 2W 84-56vs Curry
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 67.3 and allowing 71.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Texas Tech 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 84-78vs IllinoisCovered +2.5 · Under 166.5
- Nov 5W 76-58vs BethuneDidn't cover −30.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 2W 76-42vs Jackson St
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 78.7 and allowing 59.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Stonehill | Texas Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 93.2 352nd | 116.7 31st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 113.0 313th | 92.1 12th |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 70.3 238th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.3% 273rd | 49.0% 288th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.7% 199th | 49.8% 130th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.8% 264th | 18.0% 172nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.1% 274th | 32.6% 132nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 126th | 0.29 68th |
The widest gap: Texas Tech's defense (12th) against Stonehill's offense (352nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Stonehill 23, Texas Tech 43
- First-half margin
- Texas Tech by 20.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.0
- Projected second half
- Stonehill 29, Texas Tech 46
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Stonehill, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 37.7 scored, 29.0 allowed
- Texas Tech, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 41.3 scored, 23.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Stonehill
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe PatinoG | 24 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 34% | |||||
| Eli GreenbergG | 23 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Trenton RuthG | 23 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Devon ArlingtonG | 21 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Ewan SteeleF | 21 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Pearse McGuinnF | 21 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Anquan Boldin Jr.G | 19 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
| Jack MedalieF | 17 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
Texas Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz DavisG | 31 | 16.5 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 58% · 5+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Donovan AtwellG | 29 | 10.1 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 52% · 3+ threes 51% | |||||
| Darrion WilliamsF | 26 | 7.6 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 5+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Dra Gibbs-LawhornG | 24 | 15.6 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 15+ pts 52% · 3+ ast 51% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Jamichael StillwellF | 23 | 10.7 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 9+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Damarion DennisG | 19 | 11.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Bassala BagayokoF | 18 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Josiah MoseleyF | 17 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 6+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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