LSU N Orleans at Texas Tech
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at United Supermarkets Arena. LSU N Orleans our rank 301 · 1-1; Texas Tech AP 16, our rank 13 · 3-0.
Who will win LSU N Orleans vs Texas Tech?
The model gives Texas Tech a >99% chance to beat LSU New Orleans, with a projected score of Texas Tech 92, LSU N Orleans 58.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | |||||
| DavisG · 31 min | 16.9 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 15+ 60% | |
| Gibbs-LawhornG · 24 min | 16.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 15+ 55% | |
| DennisG · 19 min | 11.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 10+ 58% | |
| StillwellF · 23 min | 10.9 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 10+ 55% | |
| LSU N Orleans | |||||
| SingletonG · 25 min | 9.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 10+ 45% | |
| McDonaldG · 24 min | 7.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5+ 69% | |
| BoudoumaF · 22 min | 6.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 5+ 63% | |
| OsbyF · 24 min | 6.6 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 5+ 61% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Cruz Davis: LSU N Orleans 1%Texas Tech 99%
The white mark is the call with him: Texas Tech >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Texas Tech without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | ||||
| Cruz Davis | 4.4 | 99% | −1 | 60–90 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 4.4 | 99% | −1 | 60–90 |
| Donovan Atwell | 4.1 | >99% | 0 | 60–90 |
| Darrion Williams | 3.4 | >99% | 0 | 59–90 |
Change is in Texas Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read LSU N Orleans, then Texas Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
LSU N Orleans 1-1LW
- Last 2
- 1–1, scoring 73.5 and allowing 82.5
Texas Tech 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 84-78vs IllinoisCovered +2.5 · Under 166.5
- Nov 5W 76-58vs BethuneDidn't cover −30.5 · Under 149.5
- Nov 2W 76-42vs Jackson St
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 78.7 and allowing 59.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| LSU N Orleans | Texas Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.5 283rd | 116.7 31st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 113.0 312th | 92.1 12th |
| Possessions a game | 72.4 39th | 70.3 238th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.9% 336th | 49.0% 288th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.4% 178th | 49.8% 130th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.8% 149th | 18.0% 172nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.4% 208th | 32.6% 132nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.29 66th | 0.29 68th |
The widest gap: Texas Tech's offense (31st) against LSU N Orleans's defense (312th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- LSU N Orleans 26, Texas Tech 45
- First-half margin
- Texas Tech by 18.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.3
- Projected second half
- LSU N Orleans 32, Texas Tech 47
- Second-half points, both teams
- 79.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- LSU N Orleans, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 2 · 29.5 scored, 42.0 allowed
- Texas Tech, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 41.3 scored, 23.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
LSU N Orleans
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahlil SingletonG | 25 | 9.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 36% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Kedrick OsbyF | 24 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Marcus McDonaldG | 24 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Enzo BoudoumaF | 22 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Solomon OminuF | 20 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 5+ reb 45% | |||||
| Nick JonesG | 20 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 45% to play · 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Cham OkeyG | 17 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Yohandry OrtizG | 16 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Texas Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz DavisG | 31 | 16.9 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 5+ ast 49% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Donovan AtwellG | 29 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 53% · 3+ threes 53% | |||||
| Darrion WilliamsF | 26 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Dra Gibbs-LawhornG | 24 | 16.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 3+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 58% | |||||
| Jamichael StillwellF | 23 | 10.9 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 9+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Damarion DennisG | 19 | 11.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 40% | |||||
| Bassala BagayokoF | 18 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Josiah MoseleyF | 17 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 6+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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