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LSU N Orleans at Texas Southern

Saturday, November 21, 2026, 8:30 PM ET at H&PE Arena. LSU N Orleans our rank 301 · 1-1; Texas Southern our rank 347 · 1-2.

Who will win LSU N Orleans vs Texas Southern?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives LSU New Orleans a 56% chance to beat Texas Southern, with a projected score of LSU N Orleans 79, Texas Southern 77.

To winLSU N Orleans 56%Texas Southern 44%
Projected score79–77LSU N Orleans, then Texas Southern
Margin1.8LSU N Orleans · no line posted
Total156.3no line posted
First half37–36LSU N Orleans ahead 52%
LSU N Orleans by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Texas Southern by 30Model: LSU N Orleans by 1.8LSU N Orleans by 30by 10by 10Texas Southern by 30Model: LSU N Orleans by 1.8

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
LSU N Orleans
SingletonG · 26 min13.01.80.915+ 36%
McDonaldG · 25 min10.32.62.310+ 50%
OsbyF · 26 min8.93.50.710+ 40%
JonesG · 21 min8.92.51.610+ 40%
Texas Southern
PattersonG · 23 min13.43.41.615+ 39%
BilalG · 34 min12.53.32.510+ 65%
KimbroughG · 30 min12.53.13.010+ 65%
VungoG · 26 min9.58.00.910+ 44%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    LSU N Orleans 1-1LW

    1. Nov 7W 90-65vs Loyola New Orleans
    2. Nov 3L 57-100at LSU
    Last 2
    1–1, scoring 73.5 and allowing 82.5

    Texas Southern 1-2LLW

    1. Nov 10W 98-78vs College of Biblical Studies
    2. Nov 6L 51-92at LSUDidn't cover +35.5 · Under 161.5
    3. Nov 2L 79-103at Grand Canyon
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 76.0 and allowing 91.0
    Against the spread, this season
    0–1
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    LSU N OrleansTexas Southern
    Points scored per 100 possessions99.5 283rd96.4 320th
    Points allowed per 100113.0 312th115.4 343rd
    Possessions a game72.4 39th72.3 49th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.9% 336th48.4% 319th
    Opponents' shooting50.4% 178th52.1% 291st
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.8% 149th17.2% 83rd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.4% 208th30.3% 267th
    Free throws per shot0.29 66th0.29 67th

    The widest gap: LSU N Orleans's offense (283rd) against Texas Southern's defense (343rd), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    LSU N Orleans 37, Texas Southern 36
    First-half margin
    LSU N Orleans by 1.0
    First-half points, both teams
    73.3
    Projected second half
    LSU N Orleans 42, Texas Southern 41
    Second-half points, both teams
    83.0
    Tied at the half
    4%
    LSU N Orleans, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 2 · 29.5 scored, 42.0 allowed
    Texas Southern, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 35.7 scored, 44.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    LSU N Orleans

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Kahlil SingletonG2613.01.80.92.2
    15+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 58%
    Kedrick OsbyF268.93.50.70.8
    10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 53%
    Marcus McDonaldG2510.32.62.31.3
    10+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 62%
    Enzo BoudoumaF228.84.41.20.9
    10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 54%
    Nick JonesG218.92.51.61.0
    45% to play · 10+ pts 40% · 2+ ast 45% · 1+ threes 58%
    Solomon OminuF204.35.70.40.1
    5+ pts 39% · 6+ reb 48%
    Cham OkeyG174.22.60.90.6
    5+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 46%
    Yohandry OrtizG156.72.40.90.6
    5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 43%

    Texas Southern

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Karris BilalG3412.53.32.51.2
    10+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 59% · 3+ ast 44%
    Jason KimbroughG3012.53.13.01.8
    10+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 49%
    Ben VungoG269.58.00.90.6
    10+ pts 44% · 8+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 45%
    Kehlin FarooqG245.65.01.41.0
    5+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 57%
    Cameron PattersonG2313.43.41.60.5
    15+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 45%
    Josh AkpovwaF195.83.10.40.1
    5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 55%
    Xander WedlowF166.43.30.40.2
    5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 18%
    Sayed SayedG133.52.01.00.6
    5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 42%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Sat, Nov 21

    All games
    1. 2 PMprojected 81-77New Mexico at Wichita St, men's: game page
    2. 3 PMprojected 76-78St Thomas at Milwaukee, men's: game page
    3. 4 PMprojected 73-74C Arkansas at Jacksonville, men's: game page
    4. 4 PMprojected 73-76South Florida at George Mason, men's: game page
    5. 4 PMprojected 75-75Penn at La Salle, men's: game page
    6. 7 PMprojected 79-74Michigan at Villanova, men's: game page
    LSU N Orleans next: at Texas Tech, Wed, Nov 18 · <1%Texas Southern next: at Murray St, Fri, Nov 13 · 1%LSU N Orleans: schedule and oddsTexas Southern: schedule and odds