Princeton at Rhode Island
Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Thomas M. Ryan Center. Princeton our rank 168 · 3-1; Rhode Island our rank 102 · 4-0.
Who will win Princeton vs Rhode Island?
The model gives Rhode Island a 83% chance to beat Princeton, with a projected score of Rhode Island 75, Princeton 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island | |||||
| DeniusasF · 27 min | 13.3 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 15+ 39% | |
| WilliamsonG · 29 min | 13.1 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 15+ 37% | |
| HintonG · 30 min | 11.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 10+ 61% | |
| TrippG · 26 min | 10.4 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 10+ 51% | |
| Princeton | |||||
| HickeG · 33 min | 12.5 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 10+ 65% | |
| DavisG · 30 min | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 10+ 43% | |
| StantonG · 24 min | 8.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 10+ 38% | |
| KirkpatrickG · 20 min | 8.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 10+ 38% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jahmere Tripp: Princeton 22%Rhode Island 78%
The white mark is the call with him: Rhode Island 83%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Rhode Island without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island | ||||
| Jahmere Tripp | 2.0 | 78% | −5 | 65–74 |
| Matas Deniusas | 1.9 | 78% | −5 | 65–74 |
| Dylan Williamson | 1.7 | 79% | −4 | 65–74 |
| Jonah Hinton | 1.4 | 80% | −3 | 65–74 |
| Princeton | ||||
| Jackson Hicke | 1.1 | 85% | +2 | 64–75 |
Change is in Rhode Island's win chance, in points. Scores read Princeton, then Rhode Island. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Princeton 3-1WWLW
- Nov 11W 69-59vs Stony BrookCovered −5.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 8L 68-82at SienaDidn't cover −2.5 · Under 154.5
- Nov 5W 60-58vs HofstraDidn't cover −2.5 · Under 137.5
- Nov 2W 78-46vs Carnegie Mellon
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 68.8 and allowing 61.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–2
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 3 under
Rhode Island 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 67-47vs MD EasternDidn't cover −23.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 10W 71-65vs MaineDidn't cover −20.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 7W 84-66vs MonmouthCovered −6.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 3W 103-59vs Holy Cross
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 81.2 and allowing 59.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Princeton | Rhode Island | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.0 224th | 107.3 119th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.3 135th | 102.3 88th |
| Possessions a game | 68.8 344th | 69.9 276th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.7% 343rd | 50.7% 171st |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.7% 267th | 49.7% 126th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.6% 130th | 16.4% 20th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.2% 151st | 32.0% 161st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 341st | 0.26 183rd |
The widest gap: Rhode Island's defense (88th) against Princeton's offense (224th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Princeton 30, Rhode Island 36
- First-half margin
- Rhode Island by 5.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.3
- Projected second half
- Princeton 35, Rhode Island 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Princeton, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 27.2 allowed
- Rhode Island, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 37.2 scored, 26.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Princeton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson HickeG | 33 | 12.5 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 6+ reb 44% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Dalen DavisG | 30 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Malik AbdullahiF | 24 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Jack StantonG | 24 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| 49% to play · 10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 60% | |||||
| Landon ClarkG | 24 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Christopher KirkpatrickG | 20 | 8.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 36% | |||||
| Jacob HugginsF | 20 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| CJ HappyF | 16 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
Missed the last game: Jack Stanton (24 min a game).
Rhode Island
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah HintonG | 30 | 11.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Dylan WilliamsonG | 29 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 3+ ast 58% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Matas DeniusasF | 27 | 13.3 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 7+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| Jason Fontenet IIG | 26 | 8.8 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 6+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Jahmere TrippG | 26 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Nedas RaupelisF | 14 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 48% | |||||
| Javon PerryF | 12 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 48% | |||||
| Jalen HarperG | 12 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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