Who will win Monmouth vs Princeton?
The model gives Princeton a 58% chance to beat Monmouth, with a projected score of Princeton 71, Monmouth 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Princeton | |||||
| HickeG · 34 min | 14.0 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 15+ 43% | |
| DavisG · 31 min | 10.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 10+ 51% | |
| StantonG · 25 min | 9.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 10+ 45% | |
| KirkpatrickG · 20 min | 9.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 10+ 44% | |
 Monmouth | |||||
| SpartalisF · 34 min | 14.1 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 15+ 43% | |
| DurrG · 24 min | 10.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 10+ 52% | |
| WalkerG · 28 min | 10.3 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 10+ 50% | |
| SandersG · 25 min | 10.1 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 10+ 49% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jackson Hicke: Monmouth 46%Princeton 54%
The white mark is the call with him: Princeton 58%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Princeton without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton | ||||
| Jackson Hicke | 1.1 | 54% | −4 | 70–71 |
| Monmouth | ||||
| Madison Durr | 1.1 | 62% | +4 | 68–72 |
| Stefanos Spartalis | 0.8 | 61% | +3 | 69–72 |
Change is in Princeton's win chance, in points. Scores read Monmouth, then Princeton. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Monmouth 1-2LLW
- Nov 12W 74-70at QuinnipiacCovered +1.5 · Under 144.5
- Nov 7L 66-84vs Rhode IslandDidn't cover +6.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 2L 63-78at St John's
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 67.7 and allowing 77.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Princeton 3-1WWLW
- Nov 11W 69-59vs Stony BrookCovered −5.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 8L 68-82at SienaDidn't cover −2.5 · Under 154.5
- Nov 5W 60-58vs HofstraDidn't cover −2.5 · Under 137.5
- Nov 2W 78-46vs Carnegie Mellon
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 68.8 and allowing 61.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–2
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 3 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Monmouth | Princeton | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.8 229th | 102.0 224th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.0 130th | 106.3 135th |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 68.8 344th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.9% 226th | 47.7% 343rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.9% 64th | 51.7% 267th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.2% 81st | 17.6% 130th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.6% 302nd | 32.2% 151st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 255th | 0.22 341st |
The widest gap: Princeton's defense (135th) against Monmouth's offense (229th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Monmouth 32, Princeton 34
- First-half margin
- Princeton by 1.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.8
- Projected second half
- Monmouth 37, Princeton 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Monmouth, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 39.3 allowed
- Princeton, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.2 scored, 27.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Monmouth
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos SpartalisF | 34 | 14.1 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 9+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Jack CollinsG | 30 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 62% | |||||
| Ashton WalkerG | 28 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Jakai SandersG | 25 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 55% · 4+ ast 46% | |||||
| Madison DurrG | 24 | 10.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Torrey Brooks Jr.G | 22 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 2+ ast 55% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Stephen OseiF | 17 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 54% | |||||
| O'Marion HarveyF | 12 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 16% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
Princeton
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson HickeG | 34 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 52% · 4+ ast 43% | |||||
| Dalen DavisG | 31 | 10.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Jack StantonG | 25 | 9.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| 49% to play · 10+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 55% · 3+ threes 42% | |||||
| Malik AbdullahiF | 24 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Landon ClarkG | 24 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 42% | |||||
| Christopher KirkpatrickG | 20 | 9.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Jacob HugginsF | 20 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 33% | |||||
| CJ HappyF | 16 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
Missed the last game: Jack Stanton (24 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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