Who won Monmouth vs St John's?
Final: St. John's 78, Monmouth 63. Before tip-off the model gave St. John's a 98% chance to win, with a projected margin of 26.4 points for St. John's. Keyshawn Hall scored 26 for St John's; Jakai Sanders had 17 for Monmouth.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Keyshawn Hall: Monmouth 4%St John's 96%
The white mark is the call with him: St John's 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | St John's without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St John's | ||||
| Keyshawn Hall | 4.3 | 96% | −2 | 57–79 |
| Tounde Yessoufou | 3.7 | 97% | −1 | 57–79 |
| Ruben Prey | 3.4 | 97% | −1 | 56–79 |
| Ian Jackson | 3.1 | 97% | −1 | 56–80 |
 Monmouth | ||||
| Madison Durr | 1.1 | 99% | +1 | 54–82 |
| Stefanos Spartalis | 0.8 | 99% | +1 | 54–81 |
Change is in St John's's win chance, in points. Scores read Monmouth, then St John's. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…
Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Monmouth
No games yet this season: this is its first.
St John's
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Monmouth | St John's | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.8 229th | 116.2 34th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.0 130th | 93.1 14th |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 71.9 73rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.9% 226th | 52.0% 85th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.9% 64th | 50.9% 215th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.2% 81st | 16.9% 59th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.6% 302nd | 32.7% 119th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 255th | 0.26 170th |
The widest gap: St John's's defense (14th) against Monmouth's offense (229th), of 365 teams.
First half
St John's led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 1.5 points and the total by 10.3.
- At halftime
- Monmouth 29, St John's 45
- Projected halftime score
- Monmouth 25, St John's 39
- First-half margin
- St John's by 14.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Monmouth
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack CollinsG | 36 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Stefanos SpartalisF | 32 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Ashton WalkerG | 27 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jakai SandersG | 27 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Madison DurrG | 26 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Jinup DobuolG | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Stephen OseiF | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Lo WalkerG | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| O'Marion HarveyF | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
St John's
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn EllisG | 34 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Keyshawn HallF | 33 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| Ruben PreyF | 25 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Ian JacksonG | 22 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Tounde YessoufouG | 22 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Lefteris LiotopoulosG | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Reed BaileyF | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Zsombor MaronkaF | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Babacar SaneF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |