Hou Christian 74, W Illinois 67
Final. Saturday, November 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Spoon River College Multi-Purpose Building. Hou Christian our rank 274 · 3-0; W Illinois our rank 356 · 1-3.
Who won Hou Christian vs W Illinois?
Final: Houston Christian 74, Western Illinois 67. Before tip-off the model gave Houston Christian a 58% chance to win, with a projected margin of 2.6 points for Houston Christian. The spread was Hou Christian −9.5: W Illinois covered, and the 141 points went over an over/under of 136.5. Bubz Alvarez scored 16 for Hou Christian; Danny Stephens had 15 for W Illinois.
Prediction logged before tip-off; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
| Spread | Over/under | |
|---|---|---|
| Line | Hou Christian −9.5 | 136.5 |
| Model | Hou Christian −2.6 | 143.9 |
| Final | Hou Christian by 7 | 141 |
W Illinois covered the spread, the side the model leaned to. The total went over; the model had it higher than the line. On the margin, the line was closer (off by 4.4 and 2.5).
A gap is a difference of opinion, not a tip. This season the model's side has covered 163 of 337 spreads (48%); over 11,507 games in the last two seasons it covered 50.6%. It takes about 52.4% to break even at standard odds. Scorecard
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Hou Christian | W Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.4 285th | 94.7 341st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.0 264th | 116.5 352nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 70.8 184th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 53.0% 37th | 49.9% 226th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.2% 161st | 52.3% 301st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.4% 220th | 19.1% 292nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.9% 290th | 29.4% 310th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 315th | 0.27 134th |
The widest gap: Hou Christian's defense (264th) against W Illinois's offense (341st), of 365 teams.
First half
Hou Christian led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 4.6 points and the total by 0.5.
- At halftime
- Hou Christian 37, W Illinois 31
- Projected halftime score
- Hou Christian 34, W Illinois 33
- First-half margin
- Hou Christian by 1.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Hou Christian, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 1 · 58.0 scored, 21.0 allowed
- W Illinois, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 1 · 19.0 scored, 38.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Hou Christian
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubz AlvarezG | 32 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Chris MubiruG | 30 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Esyah Pippa-WhiteG | 22 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Kris KeinysF | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Max AlexanderPG | 21 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Mambourou MaraF | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Shawn Simmons IIF | 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonas NicholsG | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Kam ClarkG | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
W Illinois
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makai KvammeG | 34 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Daivion TraylorF | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack RileyF | 31 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Danny StephensF | 26 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Hunter VaughnG | 23 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Davee FlowersG | 22 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthieu BiembongoF | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tayelor MooreG | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdoulaye KonateG | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |