GA Southern at Hou Christian
Thursday, November 19, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Sharp Gymnasium. GA Southern our rank 270 · 1-2; Hou Christian our rank 274 · 3-0.
Who will win GA Southern vs Hou Christian?
The model gives Houston Christian a 59% chance to beat Georgia Southern, with a projected score of Hou Christian 77, GA Southern 74.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hou Christian | |||||
| AlexanderPG · 28 min | 15.7 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 15+ 53% | |
| NicholsG · 16 min | 10.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 10+ 54% | |
| AlvarezG · 24 min | 8.1 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 10+ 34% | |
| MaraF · 24 min | 8.0 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 10+ 34% | |
| GA Southern | |||||
| GardnerG · 32 min | 15.8 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 15+ 54% | |
| SmithF · 33 min | 15.0 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 15+ 49% | |
| Claytor IVF · 35 min | 14.9 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 15+ 48% | |
| DixonG · 20 min | 9.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 10+ 43% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
GA Southern 1-2WLL
- Nov 10L 91-97vs MercerDidn't cover −1.5 · Over 165.5
- Nov 6L 83-95at Georgia TechCovered +17.5 · Over 159.5
- Nov 2W 67-55vs Ball State
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 80.3 and allowing 82.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
Hou Christian 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 87-76at South DakotaCovered +3.5 · Over 155.5
- Nov 7W 74-67vs W IllinoisDidn't cover −9.5 · Over 136.5
- Nov 3W 108-45vs Louisiana Christian
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 89.7 and allowing 62.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| GA Southern | Hou Christian | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.9 249th | 99.4 285th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.2 294th | 111.0 264th |
| Possessions a game | 72.4 39th | 70.0 266th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.8% 297th | 53.0% 37th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.5% 116th | 50.2% 161st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.0% 179th | 18.4% 220th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.5% 83rd | 29.9% 290th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 116th | 0.23 315th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- GA Southern 35, Hou Christian 36
- First-half margin
- Hou Christian by 1.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 70.8
- Projected second half
- GA Southern 39, Hou Christian 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- GA Southern, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 42.7 scored, 37.3 allowed
- Hou Christian, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 46.3 scored, 28.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
GA Southern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truman Claytor IVF | 35 | 14.9 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Eltramon SmithF | 33 | 15.0 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 15+ pts 49% · 6+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 58% | |||||
| Dallas GardnerG | 32 | 15.8 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Jayden WilliamsG | 20 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 28% | |||||
| Josh DixonG | 20 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Elidjah SavaneF | 20 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 18% | |||||
| Jeromy DavisG | 19 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Rashaad WilliamsG | 17 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 51% to play · 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
Missed the last game: Rashaad Williams (20 min a game).
Hou Christian
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max AlexanderPG | 28 | 15.7 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 40% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Mambourou MaraF | 24 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 7+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Bubz AlvarezG | 24 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Kris KeinysF | 23 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Chris MubiruG | 22 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| D'Aundre SamuelsG | 20 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 2+ ast 50% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Esyah Pippa-WhiteG | 18 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ ast 62% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Jonas NicholsG | 16 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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