Hou Christian at UL Monroe
Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at b1Bank Fant Coliseum. Hou Christian our rank 274 · 3-0; UL Monroe our rank 298 · 1-3.
Who will win Hou Christian vs UL Monroe?
The model gives UL Monroe a 53% chance to beat Houston Christian, with a projected score of UL Monroe 76, Hou Christian 75.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe | |||||
| AndersonG · 34 min | 16.2 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 15+ 56% | |
| McPhersonG · 26 min | 14.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 15+ 47% | |
| LondonG · 22 min | 11.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 10+ 57% | |
| TillmanG · 28 min | 10.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 10+ 48% | |
| Hou Christian | |||||
| AlexanderPG · 28 min | 15.5 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 15+ 52% | |
| NicholsG · 16 min | 10.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 10+ 52% | |
| AlvarezG · 24 min | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 10+ 33% | |
| MaraF · 24 min | 7.9 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 10+ 33% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Hou Christian 3-0WWW
- Nov 10W 87-76at South DakotaCovered +3.5 · Over 155.5
- Nov 7W 74-67vs W IllinoisDidn't cover −9.5 · Over 136.5
- Nov 3W 108-45vs Louisiana Christian
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 89.7 and allowing 62.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Hou Christian | UL Monroe | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.4 285th | 100.3 264th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.0 264th | 113.7 319th |
| Possessions a game | 70.0 266th | 72.3 49th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 53.0% 37th | 50.9% 149th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.2% 161st | 50.3% 166th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.4% 220th | 19.4% 311th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.9% 290th | 34.1% 55th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 315th | 0.25 242nd |
The widest gap: Hou Christian's offense (285th) against UL Monroe's defense (319th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Hou Christian 35, UL Monroe 36
- First-half margin
- UL Monroe by 0.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.0
- Projected second half
- Hou Christian 40, UL Monroe 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 80.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Hou Christian, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 46.3 scored, 28.7 allowed
- UL Monroe, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 39.8 scored, 38.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Hou Christian
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max AlexanderPG | 28 | 15.5 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 40% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| Mambourou MaraF | 24 | 7.9 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 7+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Bubz AlvarezG | 24 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 48% | |||||
| Kris KeinysF | 23 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Chris MubiruG | 22 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| D'Aundre SamuelsG | 20 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 2+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Esyah Pippa-WhiteG | 18 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ ast 60% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Jonas NicholsG | 16 | 10.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
UL Monroe
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayjaun AndersonG | 34 | 16.2 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 6+ reb 53% · 3+ threes 51% | |||||
| Lance CarrF | 28 | 7.2 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 7+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Phillip TillmanG | 28 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Quaran McPhersonG | 26 | 14.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 2+ ast 45% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Khalil LondonG | 22 | 11.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Ziyade NdanckyC | 19 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Mike WhiteG | 18 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Robert CowherdG | 15 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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