C Michigan 83, UL Monroe 78
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at b1Bank Fant Coliseum. C Michigan our rank 209 · 3-0; UL Monroe our rank 298 · 1-3.
Who won C Michigan vs UL Monroe?
Final: Central Michigan 83, UL Monroe 78. Before tip-off the model gave Central Michigan a 64% chance to win, with a projected margin of 4.4 points for Central Michigan. Phat Phat Brooks scored 14 for C Michigan; Quaran McPherson had 24 for UL Monroe.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Phat Phat Brooks: C Michigan 62%UL Monroe 38%
The white mark is the call with him: C Michigan 64%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | C Michigan without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Michigan | ||||
| Phat Phat Brooks | 0.6 | 62% | −2 | 71–67 |
Change is in C Michigan's win chance, in points. Scores read C Michigan, then UL Monroe. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
C Michigan
No games yet this season: this is its first.
UL Monroe
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| C Michigan | UL Monroe | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.4 174th | 100.3 264th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.2 268th | 113.7 319th |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 72.3 49th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 53.7% 20th | 50.9% 149th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.7% 200th | 50.3% 166th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.4% 222nd | 19.4% 311th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.6% 78th | 34.1% 55th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 76th | 0.25 242nd |
The widest gap: C Michigan's offense (174th) against UL Monroe's defense (319th), of 365 teams.
First half
UL Monroe led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 13.4 points and the total by 10.3.
- At halftime
- C Michigan 32, UL Monroe 43
- Projected halftime score
- C Michigan 34, UL Monroe 31
- First-half margin
- C Michigan by 2.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
C Michigan
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan GarnerF | 29 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| Jalen KampenG | 25 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaxson WhitakerG | 24 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Phat Phat BrooksG | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Conrad LuczynskiC | 23 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Jayson PettyG | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Uchenna AmeneG | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Brock MendozaC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Jake BascomF | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
UL Monroe
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayjaun AndersonG | 37 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Lance CarrF | 33 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Quaran McPhersonG | 33 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Ziyade NdanckyC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Phillip TillmanG | 28 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Mike WhiteG | 19 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Robert CowherdG | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jean LafleurC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Guillaume SchoentgenF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |