Probable Stats
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Ayden Carter

Guard, No. 7. He adds 0.1 points a game, 2101st of every rated men's player. Next: Toledo on Saturday.

Projected points7.4
Assists0.9
Rebounds3.5
Threes0.9
Minutes18.3
MarkOur chanceLast 5Last 10Since last season
5+ points68%4/59/1010/11
10+ points29%2/55/106/11
2+ assists23%1/52/103/11
3+ assists8%1/51/101/11
3+ rebounds62%3/57/108/11
4+ rebounds44%2/56/107/11
1+ threes54%1/53/104/11
2+ threes22%0/51/101/11

Our chance (the blue mark) is the model's for this game: our own projection from minutes, production, the opponent and the pace, not a sportsbook's line. The gray bar and the other columns are simply how often he has done it. How these have done

Season

a game
2026-272025-26
Games29
Minutes17.020.6
Points3.512.2
Assists0.01.2
Rebounds4.04.3
Field goals16.7%55.1%
Threes16.7%22.2%
Free throws—76.9%
Rating, per 100 possessions−1.8−0.3
Offense, defense−1.3, −0.5—
Points a game he adds+0.1—

Without him Detroit Mercy is about 0.1 points a game worse against a replacement. The rating is what the team gains per 100 possessions with him on the floor. Try the next game without him

Last 10 games

The blue line is the next game's projection. Every projection stays on its game's page afterwards, right or wrong.

Shots this season

3/18 from the floor
FromMade of takenCarterDivision I
At the rim1/520.0%66%
Paint1/520.0%45%
Mid-range0/20.0%35%
Corner three0/20.0%34%
Other threes1/425.0%32%

He has scored 7 on shots usually worth 18.4, 11.4 fewer than those shots usually bring. Shots from the floor only; how shot luck works.

Game by game

this season, then the end of last season
DateOpponentResultMinPtsRebAstFG3PT
Nov 10at XavierLost 55–100110200-70-3
Nov 6at MarquetteLost 32–93237603-111-3
Dec 3, 2025vs IU IndianapolisWon 92–782321649-160-3
Nov 29, 2025at NiagaraWon 70–66257313-90-4
Nov 23, 2025at DePaulLost 75–952010214-70-1
Nov 21, 2025at Michigan StateLost 56–841910124-92-3
Nov 18, 2025vs Eastern MichiganLost 62–72259403-40-1
Nov 15, 2025at ToledoLost 83–901912615-71-1
Nov 11, 2025vs CLRYWon 92–541615805-70-0
Nov 7, 2025at Notre DameLost 70–102148403-50-1