Probable Stats
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Eris Lester

Guard, No. 4. She adds 2.4 points a game, 411th of every rated women's player. Next: Old Dominion on Sunday.

Next game: at Old Dominion

Sunday, November 15, 2:00 PM ET
Projected points4.9
Assists0.7
Rebounds3.5
Threes0.3
Minutes16.1
MarkOur chanceLast 5Last 10Since last season
5+ points45%2/53/83/8
10+ points13%1/51/81/8
2+ assists18%0/50/80/8
3+ assists6%0/50/80/8
3+ rebounds62%2/52/82/8
4+ rebounds43%2/52/82/8
1+ threes25%1/51/81/8

Our chance (the blue mark) is the model's for this game: our own projection from minutes, production, the opponent and the pace, not a sportsbook's line. The gray bar and the other columns are simply how often she has done it. How these have done

Season

a game
2026-272025-26
Games35
Minutes15.37.4
Points5.72.8
Assists0.70.4
Rebounds5.71.6
Field goals50.0%46.2%
Threes50.0%0.0%
Free throws100.0%33.3%
Rating, per 100 possessions+6.6+2.4
Offense, defense+3.3, +3.3—
Points a game she adds+2.4—

Without her Virginia is about 2.4 points a game worse against a replacement. The rating is what the team gains per 100 possessions with her on the floor. Last season was at Alabama. Try the next game without her

Last 8 games

The blue line is the next game's projection. Every projection stays on its game's page afterwards, right or wrong.

Shots this season

7/14 from the floor
FromMade of takenLesterDivision I
At the rim1/425.0%60%
Paint4/757.1%41%
Mid-range1/1100.0%31%
Corner three0/0—31%
Other threes1/250.0%29%

She has scored 15 on shots usually worth 13.0, about what those shots usually bring. Shots from the floor only; how shot luck works.

Game by game

this season, then the end of last season
DateOpponentResultMinPtsRebAstFG3PT
Nov 11vs DrexelWon 81–39186912-50-1
Nov 8vs William & MaryWon 99–581911615-81-1
Nov 5at DavidsonWon 72–5790200-10-0
Dec 7, 2025vs UL MonroeWon 75–3894212-30-0
Dec 4, 2025vs ClemsonWon 72–4830000-10-0
Dec 1, 2025vs Kennesaw StateWon 79–6583201-40-1
Nov 10, 2025vs Alcorn StateWon 92–39105202-40-1
Nov 6, 2025vs McNeeseWon 64–4472211-10-0