Who won Bucknell vs Maryland?
Final: Maryland 96, Bucknell 67. Before tip-off the model gave Maryland a 98% chance to win, with a projected margin of 24.2 points for Maryland. Andre Mills scored 22 for Maryland; Aleksander Pachucki had 23 for Bucknell.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Tomislav Buljan: Bucknell 4%Maryland 96%
The white mark is the call with him: Maryland 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Maryland without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maryland | ||||
| Tomislav Buljan | 3.3 | 96% | −2 | 56–76 |
| Pharrel Payne | 3.1 | 96% | −2 | 55–77 |
| DJ Wagner | 2.4 | 96% | −2 | 55–77 |
| Bishop Boswell | 2.2 | 96% | −2 | 55–77 |
Change is in Maryland's win chance, in points. Scores read Bucknell, then Maryland. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Bucknell
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Maryland
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Bucknell | Maryland | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.3 312th | 115.8 45th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 116.1 349th | 101.4 75th |
| Possessions a game | 70.3 238th | 70.2 245th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.6% 249th | 48.8% 300th |
| Opponents' shooting | 53.2% 337th | 53.6% 345th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.1% 182nd | 18.3% 211th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.5% 339th | 39.4% 1st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 208th | 0.28 80th |
The widest gap: Maryland's offense (45th) against Bucknell's defense (349th), of 365 teams.
First half
Maryland led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 0.7 points and the total by 12.0.
- At halftime
- Bucknell 30, Maryland 44
- Projected halftime score
- Bucknell 24, Maryland 38
- First-half margin
- Maryland by 13.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Bucknell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksander PachuckiG | 31 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| Rocco LamunoG | 26 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Luca Soroa SchallerF | 24 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Jayden WilliamsG | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle MarshallG | 24 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick O'BrienF | 20 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Luke SodenG | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Marten-ConeyF | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ludvik BergsengF | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Maryland
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharrel PayneF | 24 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre MillsG | 23 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 3 |
| DJ WagnerG | 22 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Mike McNair Jr.G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Tomislav BuljanF | 20 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Baba OladotunF | 19 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaden HouseG | 18 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Bishop BoswellG | 17 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Robert Jennings IIF | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 |