Who won La Salle vs Houston?
Final: Houston 94, La Salle 55. Before tip-off the model gave Houston a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 32.3 points for Houston. Dedan Thomas Jr. scored 16 for Houston; Kam Burton had 15 for La Salle.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Dedan Thomas Jr.: La Salle 1%Houston 99%
The white mark is the call with him: Houston >99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Houston without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Houston | ||||
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 4.4 | 99% | −1 | 51–79 |
| Mercy Miller | 4.4 | 99% | −1 | 51–79 |
| Joseph Tugler | 4.3 | 99% | −1 | 51–79 |
| Delrecco Gillespie | 3.4 | 99% | −1 | 51–80 |
 La Salle | ||||
| Rob Dockery | 1.0 | >99% | 0 | 49–82 |
| Kam Burton | 0.9 | >99% | 0 | 49–82 |
Change is in Houston's win chance, in points. Scores read La Salle, then Houston. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
La Salle
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Houston
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| La Salle | Houston | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.8 203rd | 121.6 4th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.3 203rd | 89.7 4th |
| Possessions a game | 70.9 171st | 69.4 315th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.5% 315th | 52.7% 54th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.3% 301st | 47.0% 18th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.6% 249th | 17.5% 114th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.0% 62nd | 33.8% 71st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 227th | 0.30 35th |
The widest gap: Houston's defense (4th) against La Salle's offense (203rd), of 365 teams.
First half
Houston led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 2.3 points and the total by 4.7.
- At halftime
- La Salle 23, Houston 43
- Projected halftime score
- La Salle 22, Houston 40
- First-half margin
- Houston by 17.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
La Salle
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam BurtonG | 29 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Devin BookerG | 26 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaden JohnsonG | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Anthony FinkleyF | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Trey MossG | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Bowyn BeattyF | 17 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| RJ SmithG | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Vice ZankiF | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Francois Nkoy-EaleF | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Houston
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr.G | 27 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Mercy MillerG | 26 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Delrecco GillespieF | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Corey Hadnot IIG | 22 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Arafan DianeC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Chase McCartyF | 20 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Joseph TuglerF | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Braden EastF | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Kordel JeffersonG | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |