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Temple at La Salle

Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at John Glaser Arena. Temple our rank 212 · 1-2; La Salle our rank 199 · 1-2.

Who will win Temple vs La Salle?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives La Salle a 61% chance to beat Temple, with a projected score of La Salle 75, Temple 72.

To winLa Salle 61%Temple 39%
Projected score72–75Temple, then La Salle
Margin3.2La Salle · no line posted
Total147.3no line posted
First half34–35La Salle ahead 55%
Temple by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20La Salle by 30Model: La Salle by 3.2Temple by 30by 10by 10La Salle by 30Model: La Salle by 3.2

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.8% of the time in 15,721 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
La Salle
BurtonG · 25 min12.02.90.510+ 62%
DockeryG · 19 min9.94.22.310+ 47%
FinkleyF · 24 min8.83.82.310+ 39%
BookerG · 22 min8.32.21.010+ 36%
Temple
FordG · 31 min13.53.41.915+ 40%
ScottG · 28 min12.02.91.110+ 62%
MarshG · 22 min8.62.62.310+ 38%
GriffithsG · 30 min8.25.21.510+ 35%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Rob Dockery: Temple 42%La Salle 58%

The white mark is the call with him: La Salle 61%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsLa Salle without himChangeProjected score
La Salle
Rob Dockery1.058%−373–75
Kam Burton0.958%−372–75
Temple
Gavin Griffiths0.864%+372–76
Derrian Ford0.764%+372–76
Jordan Marsh0.764%+372–76

Change is in La Salle's win chance, in points. Scores read Temple, then La Salle. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Temple 1-2WLL

    1. Nov 11L 81-91vs CharlestonDidn't cover +1.5 · Over 157.5
    2. Nov 8L 53-79vs RichmondDidn't cover +1.5 · Under 150.5
    3. Nov 2W 68-56vs C Connecticut
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 67.3 and allowing 75.3
    Against the spread, this season
    0–2
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 1 under

    La Salle 1-2LWL

    1. Nov 10L 59-80at VillanovaDidn't cover +20.5 · Under 157.5
    2. Nov 7W 88-80vs Long IslandCovered −4.5 · Over 150.5
    3. Nov 2L 55-94at Houston
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 67.3 and allowing 84.7
    Against the spread, this season
    1–1
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    TempleLa Salle
    Points scored per 100 possessions102.4 209th102.8 203rd
    Points allowed per 100109.4 207th109.3 203rd
    Possessions a game69.7 292nd70.9 171st
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.8% 340th48.5% 315th
    Opponents' shooting52.1% 295th52.3% 301st
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.5% 117th18.6% 249th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses29.9% 288th34.0% 62nd
    Free throws per shot0.21 356th0.25 227th

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Temple 34, La Salle 35
    First-half margin
    La Salle by 1.7
    First-half points, both teams
    69.1
    Projected second half
    Temple 38, La Salle 40
    Second-half points, both teams
    78.2
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Temple, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 33.0 allowed
    La Salle, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 31.0 scored, 38.7 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Temple

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Derrian FordG3113.53.41.91.4
    15+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 54%
    Gavin GriffithsG308.25.21.52.0
    10+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 53%
    Cam ScottG2812.02.91.11.6
    10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 45%
    Baboucarr NjieF236.95.31.40.2
    5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 40%
    Jordan MarshG228.62.62.31.6
    10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 44%
    Deuce DrakeG168.22.01.50.5
    10+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 42%
    Dez WhiteG154.21.61.01.2
    5+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 64%
    Dallis DillardG132.51.21.00.5
    5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 30% · 1+ threes 39%

    La Salle

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Jaden JohnsonG295.01.94.60.5
    5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 51% · 5+ ast 47%
    Kam BurtonG2512.02.90.53.4
    10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 51% · 4+ threes 42%
    Anthony FinkleyF248.83.82.31.2
    10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 41%
    Noah CollierF237.95.01.20.2
    10+ pts 33% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 33%
    Devin BookerG228.32.21.01.3
    10+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 37%
    Rob DockeryG199.94.22.30.6
    10+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 44%
    Trey MossG186.02.40.81.0
    5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 59%
    RJ SmithG175.91.81.71.0
    5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 48%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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