C Connecticut 56, Temple 68
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Liacouras Center. C Connecticut our rank 312 · 2-2; Temple our rank 212 · 1-2.
Who won C Connecticut vs Temple?
Final: Temple 68, Central Connecticut 56. Before tip-off the model gave Temple a 80% chance to win, with a projected margin of 10.5 points for Temple. Jordan Marsh scored 16 for Temple; Ashton Reynolds had 18 for C Connecticut.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Gavin Griffiths: C Connecticut 21%Temple 79%
The white mark is the call with him: Temple 80%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Temple without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temple | ||||
| Gavin Griffiths | 0.8 | 79% | −1 | 61–71 |
| Derrian Ford | 0.7 | 79% | −1 | 61–71 |
| Jordan Marsh | 0.7 | 79% | −1 | 61–71 |
Change is in Temple's win chance, in points. Scores read C Connecticut, then Temple. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
C Connecticut
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Temple
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| C Connecticut | Temple | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.1 289th | 102.4 209th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.0 323rd | 109.4 207th |
| Possessions a game | 68.7 348th | 69.7 292nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.3% 120th | 47.8% 340th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.5% 257th | 52.1% 295th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.4% 100th | 17.5% 117th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.7% 187th | 29.9% 288th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 331st | 0.21 356th |
The widest gap: Temple's offense (209th) against C Connecticut's defense (323rd), of 365 teams.
First half
Temple led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 14.2 points and the total by 10.1.
- At halftime
- C Connecticut 16, Temple 36
- Projected halftime score
- C Connecticut 28, Temple 34
- First-half margin
- Temple by 5.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
C Connecticut
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James JonesG | 34 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Jhace JohnsonG | 30 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Ashton ReynoldsG | 28 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Raphel LaurentG | 26 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Jayden MottF | 24 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Elijah ParkerG | 21 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Brayden JacksonF | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Rashawn TibbyF | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Victor Payne Jr.G | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Temple
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan MarshG | 30 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Baboucarr NjieF | 30 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| Gavin GriffithsG | 29 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Dez WhiteG | 24 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Cam ScottG | 24 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Derrian FordG | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Deuce DrakeG | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Christian BeamC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dallis DillardG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |