Quinnipiac at C Connecticut
Sunday, November 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Detrick Gymnasium. Quinnipiac our rank 265 · 2-2; C Connecticut our rank 312 · 2-2.
Who will win Quinnipiac vs C Connecticut?
The model gives Quinnipiac a 53% chance to beat Central Connecticut, with a projected score of Quinnipiac 74, C Connecticut 73.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | |||||
| SekasiG · 34 min | 13.5 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 15+ 40% | |
| Cunningham-PembertonG · 29 min | 13.5 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 15+ 40% | |
| McKnightF · 34 min | 13.2 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 15+ 38% | |
| HartF · 28 min | 8.0 | 7.8 | 0.6 | 10+ 34% | |
| C Connecticut | |||||
| LaurentG · 31 min | 18.1 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 20+ 39% | |
| Payne Jr.G · 25 min | 11.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 10+ 60% | |
| JohnsonG · 31 min | 10.6 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 10+ 52% | |
| ReynoldsG · 24 min | 10.5 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 10+ 52% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Keith McKnight: Quinnipiac 50%C Connecticut 50%
The white mark is the call with him: Quinnipiac 53%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Quinnipiac without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | ||||
| Keith McKnight | 0.8 | 50% | −3 | 73–73 |
Change is in Quinnipiac's win chance, in points. Scores read Quinnipiac, then C Connecticut. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Quinnipiac 2-2LWWL
- Nov 12L 70-74vs MonmouthDidn't cover −1.5 · Under 144.5
- Nov 8W 79-76at VermontCovered +8.5 · Over 139.5
- Nov 5W 66-56vs BryantCovered −6.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 2L 59-96at Michigan St
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 68.5 and allowing 75.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 2 under
C Connecticut 2-2LLWW
- Nov 12W 79-75at Sacred HeartCovered +6.5 · Over 144.5
- Nov 8W 78-71at DartmouthCovered +6.5 · Over 140.5
- Nov 5L 49-102at SyracuseDidn't cover +23.5 · Over 135.5
- Nov 2L 56-68at Temple
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 65.5 and allowing 79.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 3 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Quinnipiac | C Connecticut | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.5 257th | 99.1 289th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.6 283rd | 114.0 323rd |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 68.7 348th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.9% 230th | 51.3% 120th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.8% 203rd | 51.5% 257th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.6% 121st | 17.4% 100th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 130th | 31.7% 187th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 291st | 0.23 331st |
The widest gap: Quinnipiac's offense (257th) against C Connecticut's defense (323rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Quinnipiac 35, C Connecticut 34
- First-half margin
- Quinnipiac by 0.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.6
- Projected second half
- Quinnipiac 39, C Connecticut 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 77.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Quinnipiac, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.8 scored, 39.2 allowed
- C Connecticut, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 25.8 scored, 39.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Quinnipiac
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas SekasiG | 34 | 13.5 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 4+ ast 52% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Keith McKnightF | 34 | 13.2 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 8+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Tayeshawn Cunningham-PembertonG | 29 | 13.5 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 40% · 2+ ast 48% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Nas HartF | 28 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 8+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 22% | |||||
| Tai TurnageG | 21 | 8.0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 47% · 4+ ast 49% | |||||
| Nate GuerengombaG | 17 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| 30% to play · 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Ali DioufF | 16 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Holden Pierre-LouisF | 13 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 3+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
Missed the last game: Nate Guerengomba (20 min a game).
C Connecticut
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James JonesG | 34 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 7+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Raphel LaurentG | 31 | 18.1 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| 20+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Jhace JohnsonG | 31 | 10.6 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 3+ ast 57% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Victor Payne Jr.G | 25 | 11.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Jayden MottF | 24 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Ashton ReynoldsG | 24 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 49% to play · 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Daniel JamesF | 20 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Elijah ParkerG | 15 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 21% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
Missed the last game: Ashton Reynolds (28 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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