Probable Stats
Menu

Coppin St at La Salle

Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at John Glaser Arena. Coppin St our rank 348 · 1-3; La Salle our rank 199 · 1-2.

Who will win Coppin St vs La Salle?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives La Salle a 88% chance to beat Coppin State, with a projected score of La Salle 77, Coppin St 64.

To winLa Salle 88%Coppin St 12%
Projected score64–77Coppin St, then La Salle
Margin13.0La Salle · no line posted
Total141.7no line posted
First half30–37La Salle ahead 75%
Coppin St by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30La Salle by 40Model: La Salle by 13.0Coppin St by 20Evenby 20La Salle by 40Model: La Salle by 13.0

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
La Salle
BurtonG · 25 min12.12.90.610+ 62%
DockeryG · 19 min10.24.32.510+ 50%
FinkleyF · 24 min8.93.92.510+ 40%
BookerG · 22 min8.42.21.110+ 37%
Coppin St
JohnsonG · 27 min8.82.91.110+ 40%
PiercyG · 22 min7.72.41.410+ 31%
SparrowG · 25 min7.14.31.45+ 65%
WilliamsG · 20 min7.13.90.65+ 65%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Rob Dockery: Coppin St 14%La Salle 86%

The white mark is the call with him: La Salle 88%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsLa Salle without himChangeProjected score
La Salle
Rob Dockery1.086%−265–77
Kam Burton0.986%−265–77
Coppin St
Tafara Gapare0.689%+164–78

Change is in La Salle's win chance, in points. Scores read Coppin St, then La Salle. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Coppin St 1-3LLWL

    1. Nov 12L 54-56vs BradleyCovered +13.5 · Under 131.5
    2. Nov 9W 90-53vs Cheyney (PA)
    3. Nov 6L 51-68at George MasonCovered +28.5 · Under 140.5
    4. Nov 3L 54-88at Virginia Tech
    Last 4
    1–3, scoring 62.2 and allowing 66.2
    Against the spread, this season
    2–0
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 2 under

    La Salle 1-2LWL

    1. Nov 10L 59-80at VillanovaDidn't cover +20.5 · Under 157.5
    2. Nov 7W 88-80vs Long IslandCovered −4.5 · Over 150.5
    3. Nov 2L 55-94at Houston
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 67.3 and allowing 84.7
    Against the spread, this season
    1–1
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    Coppin StLa Salle
    Points scored per 100 possessions91.2 362nd102.8 203rd
    Points allowed per 100110.6 247th109.3 203rd
    Possessions a game70.4 222nd70.9 171st
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)48.2% 326th48.5% 315th
    Opponents' shooting50.1% 155th52.3% 301st
    Turnovers, share of possessions21.3% 361st18.6% 249th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.7% 122nd34.0% 62nd
    Free throws per shot0.25 226th0.25 227th

    The widest gap: La Salle's defense (203rd) against Coppin St's offense (362nd), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Coppin St 30, La Salle 37
    First-half margin
    La Salle by 7.2
    First-half points, both teams
    66.5
    Projected second half
    Coppin St 35, La Salle 41
    Second-half points, both teams
    75.2
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Coppin St, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 32.8 scored, 36.5 allowed
    La Salle, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 31.0 scored, 38.7 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Coppin St

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Brendan JohnsonG278.82.91.10.9
    10+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 55%
    Camaren SparrowG257.14.31.40.4
    5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 39%
    Tafara GapareF235.93.31.00.9
    5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 55%
    Jamari PiercyG227.72.41.40.6
    10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 42%
    Hussain WilliamsG207.13.90.61.2
    5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 65%
    Malik ShacklefordG196.42.40.90.9
    5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 57%
    Favour AireC173.83.70.70.2
    5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 15%
    Josiah BrownG163.11.90.70.3
    5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 23%

    Missed the last game: Sven Djopmo (16 min a game).

    La Salle

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Jaden JohnsonG285.01.94.80.5
    5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 51% · 5+ ast 51%
    Kam BurtonG2512.12.90.63.4
    10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 52% · 4+ threes 42%
    Anthony FinkleyF248.93.92.51.2
    10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 44%
    Noah CollierF238.15.11.30.2
    10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 36%
    Devin BookerG228.42.21.11.3
    10+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 37%
    Rob DockeryG1910.24.32.50.6
    10+ pts 50% · 3+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 45%
    Trey MossG186.12.50.81.0
    5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 60%
    RJ SmithG176.11.91.81.1
    5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 52%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Wed, Nov 18

    All games
    1. 7 PMprojected 77-81FGCU at FAU, men's: game page
    2. 7 PMprojected 68-75James Madison at Towson, men's: game page
    3. 8 PMprojected 71-66Boston College at Harvard, men's: game page
    4. 8 PMprojected 77-74Wichita St at Loyola Chicago, men's: game page
    5. 9 PMprojected 74-76UConn at Arizona, men's: game page
    6. 10 PMprojected 75-75Washington St vs Hawai'i, men's: game page