Who will win Coppin St vs La Salle?
The model gives La Salle a 88% chance to beat Coppin State, with a projected score of La Salle 77, Coppin St 64.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BurtonG · 25 min | 12.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 10+ 62% | |
| DockeryG · 19 min | 10.2 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 10+ 50% | |
| FinkleyF · 24 min | 8.9 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 10+ 40% | |
| BookerG · 22 min | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 10+ 37% | |
| JohnsonG · 27 min | 8.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 10+ 40% | |
| PiercyG · 22 min | 7.7 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 10+ 31% | |
| SparrowG · 25 min | 7.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 5+ 65% | |
| WilliamsG · 20 min | 7.1 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Rob Dockery: Coppin St 14%La Salle 86%
The white mark is the call with him: La Salle 88%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | La Salle without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Dockery | 1.0 | 86% | −2 | 65–77 |
| Kam Burton | 0.9 | 86% | −2 | 65–77 |
| Tafara Gapare | 0.6 | 89% | +1 | 64–78 |
Change is in La Salle's win chance, in points. Scores read Coppin St, then La Salle. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Coppin St 1-3LLWL
- Nov 12L 54-56vs BradleyCovered +13.5 · Under 131.5
- Nov 9W 90-53vs Cheyney (PA)
- Nov 6L 51-68at George MasonCovered +28.5 · Under 140.5
- Nov 3L 54-88at Virginia Tech
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 62.2 and allowing 66.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Coppin St | La Salle | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 91.2 362nd | 102.8 203rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.6 247th | 109.3 203rd |
| Possessions a game | 70.4 222nd | 70.9 171st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.2% 326th | 48.5% 315th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.1% 155th | 52.3% 301st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.3% 361st | 18.6% 249th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.7% 122nd | 34.0% 62nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 226th | 0.25 227th |
The widest gap: La Salle's defense (203rd) against Coppin St's offense (362nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Coppin St 30, La Salle 37
- First-half margin
- La Salle by 7.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.5
- Projected second half
- Coppin St 35, La Salle 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Coppin St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 32.8 scored, 36.5 allowed
- La Salle, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 31.0 scored, 38.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Coppin St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan JohnsonG | 27 | 8.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Camaren SparrowG | 25 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Tafara GapareF | 23 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Jamari PiercyG | 22 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Hussain WilliamsG | 20 | 7.1 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 65% | |||||
| Malik ShacklefordG | 19 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Favour AireC | 17 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Josiah BrownG | 16 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 26% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
Missed the last game: Sven Djopmo (16 min a game).
La Salle
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden JohnsonG | 28 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 51% · 5+ ast 51% | |||||
| Kam BurtonG | 25 | 12.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 3.4 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 52% · 4+ threes 42% | |||||
| Anthony FinkleyF | 24 | 8.9 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| Noah CollierF | 23 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Devin BookerG | 22 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Rob DockeryG | 19 | 10.2 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 3+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Trey MossG | 18 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 60% | |||||
| RJ SmithG | 17 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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