Probable Stats
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MD Eastern 62, Wake Forest 83

Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at LJVM Coliseum. MD Eastern our rank 346 · 1-4; Wake Forest our rank 89 · 2-1.

Who won MD Eastern vs Wake Forest?

Final: Wake Forest 83, Maryland Eastern Shore 62. Before tip-off the model gave Wake Forest a 98% chance to win, with a projected margin of 24.8 points for Wake Forest. Gavin Placide scored 20 for Wake Forest; Bobby Gardner had 30 for MD Eastern.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winWake Forest 98%MD Eastern 2%
Projected score53–78MD Eastern, then Wake Forest
Margin24.8Wake Forest · no line posted
Total130.8no line posted
First half24–37Wake Forest ahead 89%
MD Eastern by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30by 40Wake Forest by 50Model: Wake Forest by 24.8MD Eastern by 10by 10by 30Wake Forest by 50Model: Wake Forest by 24.8

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Kevair Kennedy: MD Eastern 4%Wake Forest 96%

The white mark is the call with him: Wake Forest 98%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsWake Forest without himChangeProjected score
Wake Forest
Kevair Kennedy2.996%−254–76
Jamari McDowell1.997%−154–77
Xander Pintelon1.597%−154–77
Justin Ray1.397%−154–77

Change is in Wake Forest's win chance, in points. Scores read MD Eastern, then Wake Forest. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    MD Eastern

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Wake Forest

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    MD EasternWake Forest
    Points scored per 100 possessions92.7 359th107.5 116th
    Points allowed per 100111.6 281st99.5 51st
    Possessions a game68.3 357th70.8 184th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)47.7% 341st50.1% 212th
    Opponents' shooting49.3% 98th50.0% 144th
    Turnovers, share of possessions18.5% 229th17.4% 105th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses30.3% 268th31.0% 233rd
    Free throws per shot0.26 185th0.24 285th

    The widest gap: Wake Forest's defense (51st) against MD Eastern's offense (359th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Wake Forest led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 6.6 points and the total by 11.6.

    At halftime
    MD Eastern 33, Wake Forest 40
    Projected halftime score
    MD Eastern 24, Wake Forest 37
    First-half margin
    Wake Forest by 13.6
    First-half points, both teams
    61.4
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    Wake Forest

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Kevair KennedyG3214980
    Gavin PlacideF3120720
    Justin RayG2815012
    Gallagher PlacideF2213201
    Jamari McDowellG1911002
    Isaac CarrG185201
    Xander PintelonF160110
    Ring NyeriF123211
    Antonio DornC82200

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