MD Eastern at DePaul
Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Wintrust Arena. MD Eastern our rank 346 · 1-4; DePaul our rank 81 · 3-0.
Who will win MD Eastern vs DePaul?
The model gives DePaul a 98% chance to beat Maryland Eastern Shore, with a projected score of DePaul 79, MD Eastern 55.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DePaul | |||||
| CottonG · 23 min | 12.0 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 10+ 62% | |
| PopoolaG · 29 min | 11.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 10+ 58% | |
| HolmesG · 21 min | 11.2 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 10+ 56% | |
| BlockerG · 27 min | 10.5 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 10+ 52% | |
| MD Eastern | |||||
| GardnerG · 32 min | 13.9 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 15+ 42% | |
| GriffinG · 30 min | 12.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 10+ 64% | |
| ColeF · 25 min | 7.8 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 10+ 32% | |
| MooreG · 26 min | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 5+ 46% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Koree Cotton: MD Eastern 3%DePaul 97%
The white mark is the call with him: DePaul 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | DePaul without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DePaul | ||||
| Koree Cotton | 2.1 | 97% | −1 | 56–78 |
| Ade Popoola | 2.1 | 97% | −1 | 56–78 |
| Magoon Gwath | 1.9 | 97% | −1 | 56–78 |
| Fabian Flores | 1.6 | 97% | −1 | 56–78 |
Change is in DePaul's win chance, in points. Scores read MD Eastern, then DePaul. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
MD Eastern 1-4LLWLL
- Nov 12L 47-67at Rhode IslandCovered +23.5 · Under 136.5
- Nov 10L 54-82at Boston CollegeDidn't cover +26.5 · Over 128.5
- Nov 7W 81-55vs Cheyney (PA)
- Nov 4L 49-63at High Point
- Nov 2L 62-83at Wake Forest
- Last five
- 1–4, scoring 58.6 and allowing 70.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
DePaul 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 84-47vs Alabama A&MCovered −23.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 5W 82-80vs South FloridaDidn't cover −6.5 · Over 149.5
- Nov 2W 75-58vs West Georgia
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 80.3 and allowing 61.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| MD Eastern | DePaul | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.7 359th | 108.2 108th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.6 281st | 98.8 43rd |
| Possessions a game | 68.3 357th | 70.2 245th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.7% 341st | 50.1% 215th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.3% 98th | 49.6% 118th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.5% 229th | 18.2% 201st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.3% 268th | 30.7% 253rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 185th | 0.27 125th |
The widest gap: DePaul's defense (43rd) against MD Eastern's offense (359th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- MD Eastern 25, DePaul 38
- First-half margin
- DePaul by 12.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.0
- Projected second half
- MD Eastern 30, DePaul 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- MD Eastern, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 5 · 28.4 scored, 34.0 allowed
- DePaul, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 38.7 scored, 31.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
MD Eastern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby GardnerG | 32 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Isaiah GriffinG | 30 | 12.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Saadiq MooreG | 26 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 49% to play · 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Alvin ColeF | 25 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Lucius Gibson-SavadelF | 24 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 48% | |||||
| Levi BeckwithSF | 24 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Victor EzehG | 17 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Ebenezer OgohC | 13 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 58% | |||||
Missed the last game: Saadiq Moore (30 min a game).
DePaul
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ade PopoolaG | 29 | 11.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 2.9 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 52% · 3+ threes 50% | |||||
| Layden BlockerG | 27 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 51% · 4+ ast 42% | |||||
| Noah MeeusenG | 26 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 1.2 |
| 45% to play · 10+ pts 35% · 4+ reb 44% · 5+ ast 43% | |||||
| Kruz McClureG | 25 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 3+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 45% | |||||
| Koree CottonG | 23 | 12.0 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Fabian FloresC | 22 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Kahmare HolmesG | 21 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Magoon GwathF | 19 | 10.3 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
Missed the last game: Noah Meeusen (32 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…