Who won Cornell vs UConn?
Final: UConn 100, Cornell 35. Before tip-off the model gave UConn a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 54.2 points for UConn. Jovana Popovic scored 19 for UConn; Rachel Kaus had 8 for Cornell.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Sarah Strong: Cornell 1%UConn 99%
The white mark is the call with her: UConn >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | UConn without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 UConn | ||||
| Sarah Strong | 10.5 | 99% | −1 | 58–101 |
| KK Arnold | 7.1 | >99% | 0 | 56–103 |
| Blanca Quinonez | 6.1 | >99% | 0 | 55–104 |
| Ashlynn Shade | 5.0 | >99% | 0 | 55–104 |
 Cornell | ||||
| Rachel Kaus | 0.5 | >99% | 0 | 52–107 |
Change is in UConn's win chance, in points. Scores read Cornell, then UConn. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Cornell
No games yet this season: this is its first.
UConn
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Cornell | UConn | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.3 245th | 120.7 2nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 95.2 200th | 69.5 2nd |
| Possessions a game | 70.2 331st | 73.7 57th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.0% 314th | 52.8% 1st |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.7% 334th | 44.2% 103rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.5% 304th | 22.0% 61st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.1% 312th | 34.9% 84th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 317th | 0.18 341st |
The widest gap: UConn's defense (2nd) against Cornell's offense (245th), of 363 teams.
First half
UConn led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 1.8 points and the total by 16.3.
- At halftime
- Cornell 13, UConn 46
- Projected halftime score
- Cornell 22, UConn 53
- First-half margin
- UConn by 31.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 75.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Cornell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey LangstonG | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Clarke JacksonG | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Katie LeonardG | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Rachel KausF | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Audrey ChenG | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Paige EngelsG | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Simone RichmondG | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Ally PapeG | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ashley ChildersF | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
UConn
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jovana PopovicG | 24 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Sarah StrongF | 22 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| KK ArnoldG | 22 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Ashlynn ShadeG | 20 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Kayleigh HeckelG | 20 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Allie ZiebellG | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Olivia VukosaC | 16 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Marine DursusG | 16 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Blanca QuinonezF | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |