James Madison 52, Miami OH 59
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Millett Hall. James Madison our rank 53 · 2-2; Miami OH our rank 73 · 4-0.
Who won James Madison vs Miami OH?
Final: Miami (OH) 59, James Madison 52. Before tip-off the model gave Miami (OH) a 26% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 9.1 points for James Madison. Julianna LaMendola scored 24 for Miami OH; Bree Robinson had 12 for James Madison.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Bree Robinson: James Madison 66%Miami OH 34%
The white mark is the call with her: James Madison 74%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | James Madison without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | ||||
| Bree Robinson | 3.5 | 66% | −8 | 82–77 |
| Trinity Moore | 3.0 | 67% | −7 | 83–76 |
| Delilah Soltys | 2.5 | 68% | −6 | 83–76 |
| Zakiya Stephenson | 2.3 | 69% | −5 | 83–76 |
| Miami OH | ||||
| Amber Tretter | 3.3 | 82% | +8 | 86–73 |
| Julianna LaMendola | 2.7 | 80% | +6 | 85–74 |
| Addison Baxter | 2.0 | 79% | +5 | 85–74 |
| Núria Jurjo | 1.9 | 79% | +5 | 85–74 |
Change is in James Madison's win chance, in points. Scores read James Madison, then Miami OH. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
James Madison
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Miami OH
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| James Madison | Miami OH | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.9 82nd | 92.4 144th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 81.3 29th | 80.9 25th |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 234th | 72.8 110th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.4% 183rd | 47.2% 85th |
| Opponents' shooting | 42.2% 22nd | 41.7% 20th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.2% 162nd | 24.2% 244th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.4% 101st | 32.1% 220th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.16 356th | 0.20 249th |
The widest gap: James Madison's defense (29th) against Miami OH's offense (144th), of 363 teams.
First half
Miami OH led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 11.2 points and the total by 19.4.
- At halftime
- James Madison 25, Miami OH 31
- Projected halftime score
- James Madison 40, Miami OH 35
- First-half margin
- James Madison by 5.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 75.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
James Madison
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bree RobinsonG | 37 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Maddie LeachG | 26 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Delilah SoltysG | 25 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Brianna McLeodF | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Zakiya StephensonG | 18 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Ja'Quoia Jones-BrownG | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Trynce TaylorF | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Kinley LewisF | 17 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Trinity MooreF | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Miami OH
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna LaMendolaF | 38 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Addison BaxterG | 38 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Amber ScaliaG | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Núria JurjoG | 27 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Lucía Martínez LópezG | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Amber TretterF | 16 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Brooke ZartmanG | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Dominika UllmannG | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jade OndinemeF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |