Who will win Oakland vs Miami OH?
The model gives Miami (OH) a 96% chance to beat Oakland, with a projected score of Miami OH 76, Oakland 53.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami OH | |||||
| LaMendolaF · 24 min | 12.9 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 15+ 36% | |
| TretterF · 23 min | 11.2 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 10+ 57% | |
| BaxterG · 23 min | 10.8 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 10+ 54% | |
| ZartmanG · 23 min | 9.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 10+ 43% | |
 Oakland | |||||
| LuehringG · 27 min | 14.2 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15+ 44% | |
| SmithG · 24 min | 8.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 10+ 35% | |
| MorellF · 19 min | 5.9 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 5+ 55% | |
| GoldG · 22 min | 5.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 5+ 52% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Amber Tretter: Oakland 6%Miami OH 94%
The white mark is the call with her: Miami OH 96%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Miami OH without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami OH | ||||
| Amber Tretter | 3.3 | 94% | −2 | 55–74 |
| Julianna LaMendola | 2.7 | 94% | −2 | 55–74 |
| Addison Baxter | 2.0 | 95% | −1 | 54–75 |
| Núria Jurjo | 1.9 | 95% | −1 | 54–75 |
| Oakland | ||||
| Makenzie Luehring | 0.7 | 97% | +1 | 53–76 |
Change is in Miami OH's win chance, in points. Scores read Oakland, then Miami OH. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Oakland 2-2WLWL
- Nov 11L 50-91at Michigan St
- Nov 8W 97-48vs Rochester Christian
- Nov 5L 56-89at Wisconsin
- Nov 2W 104-32vs Cleary University
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 76.8 and allowing 65.0
Miami OH 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 106-45vs Mount Vernon Nazarene
- Nov 8W 92-37vs Bellarmine
- Nov 5W 75-52at SE Missouri
- Nov 2W 59-52vs James Madison
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 83.0 and allowing 46.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Oakland | Miami OH | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 89.0 195th | 92.4 144th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 100.9 312th | 80.9 25th |
| Possessions a game | 71.8 200th | 72.8 110th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.4% 256th | 47.2% 85th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.9% 268th | 41.7% 20th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.9% 55th | 24.2% 244th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.0% 317th | 32.1% 220th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 212th | 0.20 249th |
The widest gap: Miami OH's defense (25th) against Oakland's offense (195th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Oakland 24, Miami OH 37
- First-half margin
- Miami OH by 12.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.1
- Projected second half
- Oakland 29, Miami OH 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Oakland, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 37.0 allowed
- Miami OH, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 43.5 scored, 21.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Oakland
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makenzie LuehringG | 27 | 14.2 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 3+ ast 44% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Angie SmithG | 24 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Cece BonnerG | 24 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 61% | |||||
| Layla GoldG | 22 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Ella RiggsG | 22 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Milagros MorellF | 19 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Alessia RealeG | 16 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Karinna TrotterF | 15 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 4+ reb 49% | |||||
Miami OH
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna LaMendolaF | 24 | 12.9 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| 15+ pts 36% · 3+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Núria JurjoG | 23 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ ast 44% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Addison BaxterG | 23 | 10.8 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 55% · 4+ ast 50% | |||||
| Brooke ZartmanG | 23 | 9.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Amber TretterF | 23 | 11.2 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 57% · 7+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Lucía Martínez LópezG | 19 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Amber ScaliaG | 19 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 51% to play · 10+ pts 32% · 2+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Dominika UllmannG | 14 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
Missed the last game: Amber Scalia (22 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…