E Michigan at Oakland
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at OU Credit Union O'rena. E Michigan our rank 212 · 0-3; Oakland our rank 242 · 2-2.
Who will win E Michigan vs Oakland?
The model gives Oakland a 56% chance to beat Eastern Michigan, with a projected score of Oakland 70, E Michigan 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | |||||
| LuehringG · 30 min | 18.4 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 20+ 41% | |
| SmithG · 25 min | 10.5 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 10+ 52% | |
| MorellF · 19 min | 7.1 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 5+ 66% | |
| GoldG · 24 min | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 5+ 66% | |
| E Michigan | |||||
| HillF · 38 min | 15.4 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 15+ 52% | |
| OvalleF · 31 min | 14.6 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 15+ 47% | |
| GuiceG · 35 min | 10.2 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 10+ 50% | |
| PelkaF · 24 min | 9.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 10+ 43% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Makenzie Luehring: E Michigan 46%Oakland 54%
The white mark is the call with her: Oakland 56%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Oakland without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | ||||
| Makenzie Luehring | 0.7 | 54% | −2 | 68–69 |
| E Michigan | ||||
| Peyton Hill | 1.1 | 61% | +5 | 67–70 |
Change is in Oakland's win chance, in points. Scores read E Michigan, then Oakland. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
E Michigan 0-3LLL
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 62.0 and allowing 75.3
Oakland 2-2WLWL
- Nov 11L 50-91at Michigan St
- Nov 8W 97-48vs Rochester Christian
- Nov 5L 56-89at Wisconsin
- Nov 2W 104-32vs Cleary University
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 76.8 and allowing 65.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| E Michigan | Oakland | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.7 205th | 89.0 195th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.5 248th | 100.9 312th |
| Possessions a game | 72.5 135th | 71.8 200th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.2% 310th | 44.4% 256th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.8% 308th | 46.9% 268th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.9% 213th | 21.9% 55th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.5% 99th | 30.0% 317th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 274th | 0.21 212th |
The widest gap: E Michigan's offense (205th) against Oakland's defense (312th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- E Michigan 32, Oakland 33
- First-half margin
- Oakland by 1.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.3
- Projected second half
- E Michigan 36, Oakland 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 72.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- E Michigan, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 34.0 scored, 32.3 allowed
- Oakland, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 36.3 scored, 37.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
E Michigan
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton HillF | 38 | 15.4 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| 15+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Zoe GuiceG | 35 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 48% · 4+ ast 49% | |||||
| Fernanda OvalleF | 31 | 14.6 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 15+ pts 47% · 6+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Oliwia PelkaF | 24 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 36% | |||||
| Anna HabraG | 24 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Ni'Rah ClarkC | 23 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 48% to play · 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Believe TshibanguF | 20 | 5.8 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
| Alli ZajacC | 10 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Missed the last game: Ni'Rah Clark (24 min a game).
Oakland
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makenzie LuehringG | 30 | 18.4 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| 20+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 51% · 4+ ast 46% | |||||
| Cece BonnerG | 25 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 57% | |||||
| Angie SmithG | 25 | 10.5 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Layla GoldG | 24 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Ella RiggsG | 23 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Milagros MorellF | 19 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Alessia RealeG | 16 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Karinna TrotterF | 14 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 4+ reb 56% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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