St John's at Oklahoma St
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Gallagher-Iba Arena. St John's our rank 46 · 3-0; Oklahoma St AP 19, our rank 26 · 3-1.
Who will win St John's vs Oklahoma St?
The model gives Oklahoma State a 79% chance to beat St. John's, with a projected score of Oklahoma St 72, St John's 62.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma St | |||||
| CrooksC · 27 min | 17.3 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 15+ 63% | |
| McGillG · 31 min | 16.1 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 15+ 55% | |
| NdiayeG · 28 min | 11.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 58% | |
| DengG · 25 min | 8.9 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 10+ 40% | |
| St John's | |||||
| PryorG · 27 min | 12.4 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 10+ 65% | |
| MooreG · 24 min | 10.0 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 10+ 48% | |
| WyattF · 25 min | 7.6 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 5+ 70% | |
| GrantG · 23 min | 7.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5+ 69% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Audi Crooks: St John's 38%Oklahoma St 62%
The white mark is the call with her: Oklahoma St 79%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Oklahoma St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma St | ||||
| Audi Crooks | 6.0 | 62% | −17 | 65–69 |
| Liv McGill | 4.8 | 66% | −13 | 64–69 |
| Stailee Heard | 3.5 | 70% | −9 | 63–70 |
| Yuting Deng | 2.9 | 71% | −8 | 63–70 |
| St John's | ||||
| Ny'Ceara Pryor | 4.7 | 88% | +9 | 59–74 |
| Brooke Moore | 3.0 | 85% | +6 | 60–73 |
| Sa'Mya Wyatt | 2.8 | 85% | +6 | 60–73 |
| Daniela Abies | 2.5 | 84% | +5 | 60–73 |
Change is in Oklahoma St's win chance, in points. Scores read St John's, then Oklahoma St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
St John's 3-0WWW
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 90.0 and allowing 40.7
Oklahoma St 3-1WWWL
- Nov 12L 62-64at TulsaDidn't cover −24.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 9W 94-56vs N'Western St
- Nov 6W 92-38vs Morgan StCovered −50.5 · Under 139.5
- Nov 2W 81-39vs Southern
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 82.2 and allowing 49.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| St John's | Oklahoma St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.4 55th | 106.6 34th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 83.4 50th | 81.1 26th |
| Possessions a game | 70.8 296th | 72.1 164th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.8% 105th | 47.8% 55th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.3% 108th | 42.4% 23rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.7% 49th | 23.0% 134th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 36.9% 32nd | 33.8% 134th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 50th | 0.25 18th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- St John's 29, Oklahoma St 34
- First-half margin
- Oklahoma St by 5.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.2
- Projected second half
- St John's 33, Oklahoma St 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 70.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- St John's, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 44.0 scored, 21.7 allowed
- Oklahoma St, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 38.5 scored, 21.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
St John's
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ny'Ceara PryorG | 27 | 12.4 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 54% · 5+ ast 49% | |||||
| Sa'Mya WyattF | 25 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Brooke MooreG | 24 | 10.0 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Janeya GrantG | 23 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 44% | |||||
| Yohana FamiF | 21 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
| Daniela AbiesF | 20 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Olivia TuckerG | 20 | 7.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Sanaa TrippG | 16 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Oklahoma St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stailee HeardG | 31 | 8.4 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 6+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Liv McGillG | 31 | 16.1 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 47% · 6+ ast 48% | |||||
| Nene NdiayeG | 28 | 11.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Audi CrooksC | 27 | 17.3 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 15+ pts 63% · 7+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 19% | |||||
| Yuting DengG | 25 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 64% | |||||
| LA SneedG | 22 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 60% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Callin HakeG | 20 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Talexa WeeterG | 16 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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