Georgia at Georgia Tech
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at McCamish Pavilion. Georgia our rank 43 · 4-0; Georgia Tech our rank 77 · 3-1.
Who will win Georgia vs Georgia Tech?
The model gives Georgia a 57% chance to beat Georgia Tech, with a projected score of Georgia 70, Georgia Tech 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HowardF · 20 min | 12.1 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 10+ 63% | |
| BrownG · 25 min | 11.4 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 10+ 59% | |
| SmithG · 27 min | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 10+ 52% | |
| AdebanjoF · 19 min | 8.5 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 10+ 37% | |
| WalkerG · 30 min | 17.8 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 20+ 37% | |
| OdeG · 26 min | 11.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 10+ 56% | |
| FosterG · 28 min | 10.4 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 10+ 51% | |
| TermisC · 29 min | 7.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 5+ 68% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Dakota Howard: Georgia 45%Georgia Tech 55%
The white mark is the call with her: Georgia 57%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Georgia without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Howard | 3.5 | 45% | −12 | 68–70 |
| Nya Smith | 2.4 | 49% | −8 | 69–69 |
| Jordan Thomas | 2.3 | 49% | −8 | 69–69 |
| Tyreona Sibley | 2.3 | 49% | −8 | 69–69 |
| Talayah Walker | 4.5 | 70% | +13 | 72–66 |
| La'Nya Foster | 2.6 | 65% | +8 | 71–67 |
| Erica Moon | 2.2 | 64% | +7 | 71–67 |
| Ariadna Termis | 1.9 | 63% | +6 | 71–67 |
Change is in Georgia's win chance, in points. Scores read Georgia, then Georgia Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Georgia 4-0WWWW
- Nov 11W 84-42vs Kennesaw St
- Nov 8W 74-48vs Nicholls
- Nov 5W 75-40vs WinthropCovered −34.5 · Under 133.5
- Nov 2W 92-53vs West Georgia
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 81.2 and allowing 45.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
Georgia Tech 3-1WWLW
- Nov 12W 89-58vs MD Eastern
- Nov 8L 63-81vs West Virginia
- Nov 5W 84-58vs Samford
- Nov 2W 80-65vs Hofstra
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 79.0 and allowing 65.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Georgia | Georgia Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.1 58th | 99.3 77th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 81.8 32nd | 88.3 81st |
| Possessions a game | 72.2 156th | 74.0 47th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.5% 119th | 47.4% 74th |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.9% 145th | 47.2% 280th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.6% 41st | 23.9% 215th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.0% 168th | 31.6% 246th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 87th | 0.21 177th |
The widest gap: Georgia's defense (32nd) against Georgia Tech's offense (77th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Georgia 33, Georgia Tech 32
- First-half margin
- Georgia by 1.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 65.3
- Projected second half
- Georgia 37, Georgia Tech 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 72.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Georgia, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 40.8 scored, 21.8 allowed
- Georgia Tech, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 39.8 scored, 31.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Georgia
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nya SmithG | 27 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 41% | |||||
| Aubrey BeckhamG | 26 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Milan BrownG | 25 | 11.4 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Jailyn BanksG | 21 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ ast 58% | |||||
| Tyreona SibleyG | 21 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Dakota HowardF | 20 | 12.1 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 31% | |||||
| Jordana CodioG | 20 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Blessing AdebanjoF | 19 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
Missed the last game: Jailyn Banks (22 min a game).
Georgia Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talayah WalkerG | 30 | 17.8 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| 20+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Erica MoonG | 30 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Ariadna TermisC | 29 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 44% | |||||
| La'Nya FosterG | 28 | 10.4 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Jordan OdeG | 26 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 2+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Ines NogueroG | 18 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Sofia MunozG | 16 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ ast 39% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Leyre UrdiainG | 15 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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