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Georgia at Georgia Tech

Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at McCamish Pavilion. Georgia our rank 43 · 4-0; Georgia Tech our rank 77 · 3-1.

Who will win Georgia vs Georgia Tech?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Georgia a 57% chance to beat Georgia Tech, with a projected score of Georgia 70, Georgia Tech 68.

To winGeorgia 57%Georgia Tech 43%
Projected score70–68Georgia, then Georgia Tech
Margin2.0Georgia · no line posted
Total137.8no line posted
First half33–32Georgia ahead 53%
Georgia by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Georgia Tech by 30Model: Georgia by 2.0Georgia by 30by 10by 10Georgia Tech by 30Model: Georgia by 2.0

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Georgia
HowardF · 20 min12.14.01.210+ 63%
BrownG · 25 min11.45.72.110+ 59%
SmithG · 27 min10.52.91.510+ 52%
AdebanjoF · 19 min8.54.80.610+ 37%
Georgia Tech
WalkerG · 30 min17.85.42.020+ 37%
OdeG · 26 min11.13.51.910+ 56%
FosterG · 28 min10.45.12.410+ 51%
TermisC · 29 min7.42.92.55+ 68%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Dakota Howard: Georgia 45%Georgia Tech 55%

The white mark is the call with her: Georgia 57%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsGeorgia without herChangeProjected score
Georgia
Dakota Howard3.545%−1268–70
Nya Smith2.449%−869–69
Jordan Thomas2.349%−869–69
Tyreona Sibley2.349%−869–69
Georgia Tech
Talayah Walker4.570%+1372–66
La'Nya Foster2.665%+871–67
Erica Moon2.264%+771–67
Ariadna Termis1.963%+671–67

Change is in Georgia's win chance, in points. Scores read Georgia, then Georgia Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Georgia 4-0WWWW

    1. Nov 11W 84-42vs Kennesaw St
    2. Nov 8W 74-48vs Nicholls
    3. Nov 5W 75-40vs WinthropCovered −34.5 · Under 133.5
    4. Nov 2W 92-53vs West Georgia
    Last 4
    4–0, scoring 81.2 and allowing 45.8
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 1 under

    Georgia Tech 3-1WWLW

    1. Nov 12W 89-58vs MD Eastern
    2. Nov 8L 63-81vs West Virginia
    3. Nov 5W 84-58vs Samford
    4. Nov 2W 80-65vs Hofstra
    Last 4
    3–1, scoring 79.0 and allowing 65.5

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    GeorgiaGeorgia Tech
    Points scored per 100 possessions102.1 58th99.3 77th
    Points allowed per 10081.8 32nd88.3 81st
    Possessions a game72.2 156th74.0 47th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)46.5% 119th47.4% 74th
    Opponents' shooting44.9% 145th47.2% 280th
    Turnovers, share of possessions21.6% 41st23.9% 215th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses33.0% 168th31.6% 246th
    Free throws per shot0.23 87th0.21 177th

    The widest gap: Georgia's defense (32nd) against Georgia Tech's offense (77th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Georgia 33, Georgia Tech 32
    First-half margin
    Georgia by 1.2
    First-half points, both teams
    65.3
    Projected second half
    Georgia 37, Georgia Tech 36
    Second-half points, both teams
    72.5
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Georgia, first halves so far
    Led 4 of 4 · 40.8 scored, 21.8 allowed
    Georgia Tech, first halves so far
    Led 3 of 4 · 39.8 scored, 31.2 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Georgia

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Nya SmithG2710.52.91.51.3
    10+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 41%
    Aubrey BeckhamG263.52.21.80.3
    5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 51%
    Milan BrownG2511.45.72.10.1
    10+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 58%
    Jailyn BanksG217.52.32.10.4
    50% to play · 5+ pts 69% · 2+ reb 61% · 2+ ast 58%
    Tyreona SibleyG215.53.91.80.3
    5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 51%
    Dakota HowardF2012.14.01.20.0
    10+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 31%
    Jordana CodioG206.72.80.40.6
    5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 42%
    Blessing AdebanjoF198.54.80.60.0
    10+ pts 37% · 5+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 15%

    Missed the last game: Jailyn Banks (22 min a game).

    Georgia Tech

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Talayah WalkerG3017.85.42.01.3
    20+ pts 37% · 6+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 56%
    Erica MoonG307.23.33.70.6
    5+ pts 67% · 4+ ast 49% · 1+ threes 43%
    Ariadna TermisC297.42.92.50.9
    5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 44%
    La'Nya FosterG2810.45.12.40.7
    10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 47%
    Jordan OdeG2611.13.51.90.9
    10+ pts 56% · 2+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 53%
    Ines NogueroG184.33.01.20.6
    5+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 41%
    Sofia MunozG163.91.22.30.5
    5+ pts 34% · 3+ ast 39% · 1+ threes 38%
    Leyre UrdiainG154.52.41.10.6
    5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 41%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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