Georgia St at Georgia Tech
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at McCamish Pavilion. Georgia St our rank 238 · 1-3; Georgia Tech our rank 77 · 3-1.
Who will win Georgia St vs Georgia Tech?
The model gives Georgia Tech a 97% chance to beat Georgia State, with a projected score of Georgia Tech 83, Georgia St 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | |||||
| WalkerG · 28 min | 19.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 20+ 45% | |
| OdeG · 25 min | 12.3 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 10+ 64% | |
| FosterG · 26 min | 11.4 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 10+ 58% | |
| TermisC · 27 min | 8.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 10+ 34% | |
| Georgia St | |||||
| LanierG · 30 min | 10.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 10+ 53% | |
| BaldwinG · 27 min | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 5+ 65% | |
| KnightF · 15 min | 6.2 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 5+ 58% | |
| KlintmanG · 27 min | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Talayah Walker: Georgia St 6%Georgia Tech 94%
The white mark is the call with her: Georgia Tech 97%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Georgia Tech without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | ||||
| Talayah Walker | 4.5 | 94% | −3 | 61–80 |
| La'Nya Foster | 2.6 | 96% | −1 | 60–81 |
| Erica Moon | 2.2 | 96% | −1 | 60–82 |
| Ariadna Termis | 1.9 | 96% | −1 | 60–82 |
Change is in Georgia Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read Georgia St, then Georgia Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Georgia St 1-3LLLW
- Nov 11W 84-41vs Toccoa Falls
- Nov 8L 60-64vs Wofford
- Nov 6L 56-66at UNC Asheville
- Nov 2L 81-82at Buffalo
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 70.2 and allowing 63.2
Georgia Tech 3-1WWLW
- Nov 12W 89-58vs MD Eastern
- Nov 8L 63-81vs West Virginia
- Nov 5W 84-58vs Samford
- Nov 2W 80-65vs Hofstra
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 79.0 and allowing 65.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Georgia St | Georgia Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.2 214th | 99.3 77th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 99.8 300th | 88.3 81st |
| Possessions a game | 72.7 115th | 74.0 47th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.5% 118th | 47.4% 74th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.2% 350th | 47.2% 280th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.3% 86th | 23.9% 215th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.4% 304th | 31.6% 246th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 274th | 0.21 177th |
The widest gap: Georgia Tech's offense (77th) against Georgia St's defense (300th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Georgia St 27, Georgia Tech 40
- First-half margin
- Georgia Tech by 13.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.2
- Projected second half
- Georgia St 32, Georgia Tech 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 74.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Georgia St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 30.8 scored, 30.8 allowed
- Georgia Tech, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 39.8 scored, 31.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Georgia St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace LanierG | 30 | 10.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Kenaya KlintmanG | 27 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
| Aaliyah BaldwinG | 27 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Ana Oliveira DiasG | 26 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 46% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Danaeja Romero Ah SamG | 20 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Aryelle StevensF | 19 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 52% | |||||
| Mariah KnightF | 15 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 30% | |||||
| Frankee PayneG | 12 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 68% to play · 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 36% · 1+ threes 35% | |||||
Georgia Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talayah WalkerG | 28 | 19.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 20+ pts 45% · 6+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 41% | |||||
| Erica MoonG | 27 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 44% · 5+ ast 44% | |||||
| Ariadna TermisC | 27 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| La'Nya FosterG | 26 | 11.4 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 3+ ast 53% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Jordan OdeG | 25 | 12.3 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Ines NogueroG | 18 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 2+ ast 44% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Sofia MunozG | 16 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ ast 56% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Leyre UrdiainG | 15 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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