St Bonaventure at Georgia St
Women's · Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET at GSU Convocation Center. St Bonaventure our rank 218 · 2-0; Georgia St our rank 238 · 1-3.
Who will win St Bonaventure vs Georgia St?
The model gives Georgia State a 56% chance to beat St. Bonaventure, with a projected score of Georgia St 69, St Bonaventure 67.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia St | |||||
| LanierG · 33 min | 13.3 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 15+ 39% | |
| BaldwinG · 29 min | 8.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 10+ 37% | |
| KlintmanG · 29 min | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 5+ 68% | |
| KnightF · 14 min | 6.7 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 5+ 63% | |
| St Bonaventure | |||||
| MacDonoughG · 34 min | 11.4 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 10+ 58% | |
| BoydF · 21 min | 9.2 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 10+ 43% | |
| TrinkausF · 22 min | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 10+ 33% | |
| HayesF · 24 min | 7.7 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 10+ 32% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Brillana Boyd: St Bonaventure 42%Georgia St 58%
The white mark is the call with her: Georgia St 56%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Georgia St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Bonaventure | ||||
| Brillana Boyd | 0.6 | 58% | +2 | 67–70 |
Change is in Georgia St's win chance, in points. Scores read St Bonaventure, then Georgia St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
St Bonaventure 2-0WW
- Nov 11W 73-64vs Mercyhurst
- Nov 4W 68-56vs D'Youville
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 70.5 and allowing 60.0
Georgia St 1-3LLLW
- Nov 11W 84-41vs Toccoa Falls
- Nov 8L 60-64vs Wofford
- Nov 6L 56-66at UNC Asheville
- Nov 2L 81-82at Buffalo
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 70.2 and allowing 63.2
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| St Bonaventure | Georgia St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 89.3 190th | 88.2 214th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.7 269th | 99.8 300th |
| Possessions a game | 71.2 265th | 72.7 115th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.7% 111th | 46.5% 118th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.1% 216th | 49.2% 350th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.5% 189th | 22.3% 86th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.0% 277th | 30.4% 304th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 47th | 0.20 274th |
The widest gap: St Bonaventure's offense (190th) against Georgia St's defense (300th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- St Bonaventure 32, Georgia St 33
- First-half margin
- Georgia St by 1.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.9
- Projected second half
- St Bonaventure 36, Georgia St 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 72.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- St Bonaventure, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 2 · 27.5 scored, 28.0 allowed
- Georgia St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 30.8 scored, 30.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
St Bonaventure
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elyse MacDonoughG | 34 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Mackenzie PettinelliG | 28 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 4+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 47% | |||||
| Ivona DjikanovicG | 26 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Kyla HayesF | 24 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Ella TrinkausF | 22 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 32% | |||||
| Brillana BoydF | 21 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Diamond FieldsG | 17 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 29% | |||||
| Kylie BuckleyF | 13 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 17% | |||||
Georgia St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace LanierG | 33 | 13.3 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 3+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Kenaya KlintmanG | 29 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Aaliyah BaldwinG | 29 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 48% · 3+ ast 46% | |||||
| Ana Oliveira DiasG | 28 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 56% · 4+ ast 51% | |||||
| Danaeja Romero Ah SamG | 21 | 6.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Aryelle StevensF | 18 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 58% | |||||
| Mariah KnightF | 14 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 32% | |||||
| Frankee PayneG | 10 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 68% to play · 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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